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Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution IX, called 11 Sep 2026.

Published on 11 Sep 2026, before the lot closed. It ended without a sale, so there is no hammer to grade it against.

$46,500
Called
$32,500 – $60,500
Band published
ended without a sale
Status
Called 11 Sep 2026 → resolved 2 Oct 2026 · 3 weeks later
What happened
No sale at Maddingley, Victoria. Absent from the sold results by 2 October, with no high bid published, so there is nothing to grade against.
The workingWritten 11 Sep 2026, unedited since

A 2006 Lancer Evolution IX running out of Maddingley, Victoria — Cool Silver, 100,689 kilometres, Australian-delivered, VIN JMFSJCT9A6U000779, and modified.

It is a standard Evolution IX and the record it is priced against is an MR

That is the whole call, and it runs the opposite way to the usual complaint about a mismatched record: this lot matches the record's evidence better than the record's own carried value does.

What the record carries and what actually sits under it

The Evolution IX MR entry carries $72,500. Underneath it are two Australian results, and the record's own source line says of them, in these words, that neither is an MR. $47,500 at Moorebank, New South Wales in May 2026 at 172,664 kilometres, catalogued as a standard Evolution IX and carried as the local ceiling reference for a high-distance car. $46,250 at Melbourne in May 2024 at 85,728 kilometres, a Japanese import, extensively modified with a GReddy radiator and intercooler, an HKS turbo manifold and a Tomei titanium exhaust. The MR premium above that pair is judgement and the record says so on its own page.

The carried value is therefore fifty-three per cent above the only local transactions anyone has,

And the car in front of us is the cheaper variant of the two. A call that started at $72,500 and worked downwards would be repeating the 456 GTA error in a different currency: leaning the whole structure on an anchor the Australian market has never confirmed.

This call does not use the carried value
Two routes, and they disagree by seven per cent
Route one, distance-adjusted

Against the May 2026 car this lot is 71,975 kilometres fresher, which at this record's 1.8 per cent per 10,000 is plus 12.96 and caps at plus 12, giving $53,200. Against the May 2024 car this lot is 14,961 kilometres further along, minus 2.7 per cent, and that car is an import where this one is not, which this library docks at 12 on a model sold here new, giving $50,400. Mean $51,800. The fitted market index is flat between 2024 and 2026, so no drift adjustment is taken in either direction.

Route two, distance-Neutral, and it is the honest check on route one

On these cars the odometer does very little work. The higher-distance car of the pair made the higher price — twice the kilometres for three per cent more money — and this library has now measured the same flatness on the R32 GT-R, the A80 Supra and the 944 Turbo, where distance and price correlate at plus 0.043. Take the pair at face value, $46,875, credit three per cent across the mean because one of the two is an import and this lot is not, and the answer is $48,300.

The worth is taken at $49,000, weighted towards route two,

Because the record's own results are the reason to distrust a 12-point odometer credit on this platform.

What comes off

The car is modified. This record pays plus 14 for standard boost with a documented service history and plus 8 for an unmodified interior on the original Recaro trim, and a modified car forfeits both; the library's catch-all for a car changed in ways the itemised rows do not name is minus 10.

It is taken at minus five rather than minus ten,

And the reason is arithmetic rather than generosity: the May 2024 anchor is itself an extensively modified car, so half of that deduction is already inside the pair this call is built on. Taking the full ten would charge this lot twice for a condition both comparables share.

Cool Silver scores nothing and that is deliberate

This record pays 6 for original unresprayed paint and 3 for Wicked White or Graphite Grey. Cool Silver is neither of the two colours the record names, no Australian Evolution IX result prices colour at all, and a silver car is not credited with a grey car's premium here for the same reason Grigio Titanio is not credited with Grigio Silverstone's. It is recorded and not paid for.

Australian delivery is the baseline here, not a premium, and it is worth saying which

Mitsubishi Australia sold the standard Evolution IX from April 2006 at $56,789. The MR was never offered here, which is why the record carries a no-local-delivery flag — but that flag describes the MR, not this car. The three per cent credited above is taken against the one comparable that is an import, not paid to this lot for being local.

No second deduction is taken for the buyer's premium

Both anchors are hammer prices and every adjustment above is measured hammer to hammer, so subtracting the premium again would charge this call for a cost that is already outside both comparables. That is a correction on how this desk has written the last two calls and it is stated here rather than applied quietly.

The call is $46,500

$49,000 of worth less five per cent for modification is $46,550. It sits between the two Australian results, which is where an unremarkable mid-distance car with a colour nobody pays for belongs. Predicted hammer $32,500 to $60,500, midpoint $46,500.

The band is thirty per cent

Because this record carries two counted Australian sales, and two is the thinnest evidence this library will publish a band on at all.

What would put it over

If the modifications are reversible, documented, and the original parts come with the car, the minus five is too harsh and this lands nearer $49,000 — which is above both anchors and would need the room to pay for Australian delivery in a way no local result has yet shown it will.

What would put it under

A raised-boost 4G63 with no service file is a $17,000 rebuild waiting to be found, and the record names it as the first risk on the model. A thin room on a modified silver sedan lands under both anchors rather than between them.

Where this number came from

The call is a prediction of one hammer. The record behind it is the Australian evidence for the model as a whole, and it carries its own grade for how much of that evidence exists.

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