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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a BMW 1 Series M Coupe
Valuation · BMW · E82 · 2011

BMW 1 Series M Coupe

3.0L twin-turbo inline six (N54) · 250 kW / 450 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
BUYRated within the $30k to $100k band · 9 of 94 at this money
Model value
$56,000
Must gain each year to break even
+9.8%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
61/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$56,000
$35,086 lowhigh $58,220
Calibrated to recorded sales
Nine Australian results between $46,251 and $79,000, including one chassis sold twice at minus 15.4 per cent

Looking at a 1 Series M Coupe for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$56,000
At about 95,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $56,000 · modelled median at five years $43,761
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $39,198 to $51,366
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($35,086 to $58,220). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 61/100, ranking 9 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $5,600 a year (10.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $8,866 a year.
The model's five year median is $43,761, a -21.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $35,086.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured9 recorded sales
Off its peak
-34%
Value band
moderate
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$8,866 a year all in, -21.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$56,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
10 rows on record
$141k$88k$35k
202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $56kwhat the model expects across 28k–142k kmsoldcontext, excluded
Every row, with its price and note (10) ↓
Library value against the sold record
9 sales · median $60,500
Value $56,000
$46,251$79,000
2026Collecting Cars$74,500Sold
SOLD. 15 Jul 2026, Melbourne VIC, 29,000km. Failed to sell 30 Jun 2026 and sold two weeks later - one car, counted once
Dec 2025Collecting Cars$91,500Context, excluded
SOLD. 5 Dec 2025, Hope Island QLD, about 140,000km on the chassis and 8,000km on the engine. NOT A 1M ENGINE - an S65 4.0 V8 and seven-speed DCT from an E92 M3, built and installed by Brintech Customs, believed one of two such cars in Australia and registered in Queensland as a V8 1M. Akrapovic titanium exhaust, Recaro Pole Position seats, KW V3, Koya three-piece 19-inch wheels, extensive carbon. A different car sharing a shell, and a separate market. Context only
Nov 2025Collecting Cars$68,600Sold
SOLD. 24 Nov 2025, Darra QLD, 45,746km, believed genuine. Alpine White III over Boston black with orange stitching, Style 359 wheels on Michelins, standard throughout. Twelve dated entries from 1,229km in August 2011, largely BMW Melbourne and Brighton BMW
Oct 2025Collecting Cars$46,251Sold
SOLD. 31 Oct 2025, Old Guildford NSW, 141,577km from new. Alpine White, aftermarket intake, blow-off valve, intercooler and charge pipes, BC coilovers, smoked taillights, carbon boot spoiler and mirror caps. SERVICED EXCLUSIVELY BY BMW MAIN AGENTS - thirteen dated entries from 15,347km in May 2013 - with a replacement clutch fitted at 141,321km in October 2025, weeks before the sale. The highest distance in the set and the cheapest standard car in it
Sep 2025Collecting Cars$59,500Sold
SOLD. 29 Sep 2025, Northmead NSW, 53,579km. VALENCIA ORANGE - one of 99 of the 301 Australian cars in the colour - and reportedly built in the final month of production. Unmodified but for RevoZport carbon, and preventatively maintained: the fragile plastic chargepipe upgraded to an Evolution Racewerks aluminium item with a TIAL blow-off valve, rocker cover and oil filter housing gaskets replaced. Rare factory options - Comfort Access, fitted to 166 of 301; heated seats, 117; auto high beam, 96; front and rear daytime running lights, 68. Sixteen BMW dealer entries across thirteen years
Jul 2025Collecting Cars$55,550Sold
SOLD. 17 Jul 2025, North Sydney NSW, 90,426km from new. Australian-market, complied April 2012, Black Sapphire Metallic, with the seller since 2018. Metal charge pipe, Black Line taillights, carbon boot lip, aftermarket back box, ceramic coating - ALL ORIGINAL PARTS RETAINED AND INCLUDED IN THE SALE. Thirteen dated entries from 11,297km in May 2013
Apr 2025Collecting Cars$51,190Sold
SOLD. 7 Apr 2025, Abbotsbury NSW, 104,016km from new. Alpine White III, KW V3 coilovers and metal intake pipes, window tints. SAME CAR AS THE OCTOBER 2023 CARINGBAH RESULT - twelve identical service entries from 2,386km in March 2013 through 98,040km in June 2023, plus one more at 102,000km in May 2024. Eighteen months and 4,876km later, 15.4 per cent LESS money. The only clean measurement of this market on record
Mar 2025Collecting Cars$61,000Sold
SOLD. 17 Mar 2025, Chatswood NSW, 30,203km from new. Second owner of two, four years with the seller, Alpine White III, BMW Performance front seats, Michelin Pilot Sport 4 S. A GruppeM cold air intake and tints the only changes. Five dated entries only, from 2,073km in November 2012 to 27,397km in March 2025 - a thin book for the age, though the distance explains it
2024Collecting Cars$79,000Sold
SOLD. 9 Apr 2024, North Rocks NSW, 27,903km from new. Third owner, eighteen months with the seller, Alpine White III, BMW Motorsport carbon rear spoiler and mirror covers, M Sport wheel with LED shift lights, Michelin Pilot Super Sports. Ten dated entries from May 2012. The highest genuine result in the Australian record
Oct 2023Collecting Cars$60,500Sold
SOLD. 9 Oct 2023, Caringbah NSW, 99,140km from new. Alpine White III, third owner of three and eight years with the seller, KW V3 coilovers and metal intake pipes with the originals included. DISCLOSED REPAIRS: rear bumper repaired and repainted after a scrape, paintless dent removal on the right rear arch, right front bumper corner repainted after a gutter scrape. Twelve dealer and specialist entries from 2,386km in March 2013. SAME CAR AS THE APRIL 2025 ABBOTSBURY RESULT - the service tables match entry for entry
9 completed Australian sales of 10 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
55/100even
Scarcity25% of total
100/100+47
Demand durability20% of total
76/100+10
Liquidity15% of total
8/100-44
Risk resilience10% of total
34/100-2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 61/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
55/100
Baseline80 pts
− 10.0% of value a year to run-25 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)55 pts
Scarcity25% weight
100/100
Baseline74 pts
+ Only around 150 estimated AU deliveries, a genuine limited-run special+20 pts
+ Widebody M3-derived chassis on the smallest BMW coupe of its era+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Demand durability20% weight
76/100
Baseline56 pts
+ Regarded by many enthusiasts as BMW's last great analogue small coupe+20 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Liquidity15% weight
8/100
Baseline16 pts
− Thin market, 52 days on market-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)8 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
34/100
Baseline42 pts
− N54 turbo/injector wear a known issue on tuned or neglected cars-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)34 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,333 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$5,600a year
Share of value per year
10.0%
Scheduled servicing$1,25022%
Tyres, annualised$95017%
Registration and CTP$80014%
Insurance$1,65029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$95017%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$58,240
Running costs × 5 years$28,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$41,911
All-in annualised over 5 years$8,866/yr
Share of value per year15.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
9.8%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-4.8%a year
The projection falls 14.6 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$56,000
Stamp duty$2,240
Running costs x 5 years$28,000
Selling cost at exit, 3.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$89,186
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.0L twin-turbo inline six (N54)
Power / torque250 kW / 450 Nm
0-100 km/h4.9 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,495 kg
Built worldwide6,300
Delivered to Australia150
Effective AU survivors130
Australian sales / year10
Typical days on market52 days
Launch price$68,900

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Valencia Orange+8%
Alpine White+1%
Black Sapphire-1%
Options
Adaptive M suspension+2%
Full BMW dealer history+5%
Original N54 turbos, no tune+6%
Odometer sensitivity±3.6% per 10,000 km vs 95,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$43,761
-21.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $56,000.
Even odds it lands between $39,198 and $51,366.
$35,086 lowhigh $58,220
The shaded range is even money and 31% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 94% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$12,239 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $28,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $4,090.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $44,330, or $8,866 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

Regarded by many enthusiasts as BMW's last great analogue small coupe, with a genuine limited-run allocation of only around 150 cars to Australia. A 34 per cent fall from the 2024 high has put it back at 2016 money, and buyers recognise it as a high point before electric power steering took over.

The case against

The N54 twin-turbo six has known injector and turbo wear issues, particularly on tuned or neglected examples, so verified service history is essential. The market is thin at 52 days on market and Valencia Orange, the signature colour, is a matter of taste that not every buyer wants. Two identical-specification cars sold in the same room on the same day in 2019 at GBP30,525 and GBP59,385, so condition and history swing the price by nearly half. A single headline figure will misprice most individual cars in either direction: the nine Australian results run $46,251 to $79,000, and the odometer moves about 4.3 per cent of value per 10,000 kilometres across them.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1N54 injector and turbo wear
Risk 2High-pressure fuel pump failure (known N54 issue)
Risk 3Verifying genuine unmodified service history
Injector set replacement$2,400
High-pressure fuel pump replacement$1,600
Turbo inspection/rebuild$3,200

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 9 recorded sales
Carried value
$56,000
Historical price
2016 · $52,0002026 · $56,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Nine Australian results for the standard car, and two of them are the same car

An Alpine White III example on KW V3 coilovers and metal intake pipes sold at Caringbah, New South Wales in October 2023 at 99,140 kilometres for $60,500, and again at Abbotsbury in April 2025 at 104,016 kilometres for $51,190. The two listings print twelve identical service entries, from 2,386 kilometres in March 2013 through 98,040 in June 2023.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (6 more)
Eighteen months, 4,876 kilometres driven, and 15.4 per cent less money

A repeat sale is the only measurement that holds condition, specification and history constant, and this one says the market fell through 2024 while this record's own value history had it rising.

It is the third repeat sale in this library and they disagree

- the Subaru WRX GC8 went sideways at plus 1.5 per cent over fifteen months, the Honda S2000 AP2 rose 13.1 per cent over twelve, this fell 15.4 over eighteen. There is no single market direction to apply across the library; each model moves on its own, and any record that claims otherwise is guessing.

The odometer prices this car hard, and it is measured

Across the eight distinct cars the slope is 4.3 per cent per 10,000 kilometres with a correlation of minus 0.877, the strongest distance signal in the European section here. The record carries 3.6, which is now the conservative end of what the sample shows.

The value of $56,000 sits on the fit

At the 95,000 kilometres this record treats as standard: $54,927 across the eight distinct cars with the repeated chassis at its later sale, $56,673 with it at its earlier one, and $56,036 across all nine results.

What separates cars at a given distance is the book and the chargepipe

The September 2025 Valencia Orange car - one of 99 in that colour of 301 Australian cars, sixteen BMW dealer entries, and the fragile plastic chargepipe already replaced with an aluminium one - made $59,500 at 53,579 kilometres. The known N54 weak points are cheap to pre-empt and expensive to discover.

One row is held as context

$91,500 in December 2025 for a car fitted with an S65 V8 and a DCT from an E92 M3. It is not a 1M engine and it is not this market. SOURCING: seven of the nine are read from the Collecting Cars lot pages themselves, which is where the service tables that identified the repeat sale came from.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that BMW 1 Series M Coupe is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

Backed by 9 recorded Australian sales of this model. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$56,000
Half of sales are further out than$6,260
The report$249
25×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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