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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a BMW 2002 tii
Valuation · BMW · E10 · 1971-75

BMW 2002 tii

2.0L NA inline four, Kugelfischer mechanical injection · 96 kW / 176 Nm · 4sp manual · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the $30k to $100k band · 43 of 94 at this money
Research estimate
$66,500
Must gain each year to break even
+10.3%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
55/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$66,500
$50,325 lowhigh $107,638
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian sale, pass-in or asking price of any kind was found for a tii. The one local auction figure that circulates is a plain 2002 coupe at $25,000 in early 2022, which is a floor for a carburettor car rather than a tii result.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 2002 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$66,500
At about 55,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $66,500 · modelled median at five years $76,832
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $62,889 to $93,036
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($50,325 to $107,638). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 55/100, ranking 43 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $7,320 a year (11.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $6,132 a year.
The model's five year median is $76,832, a +15.5% move, with the tenth percentile at $50,325.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$6,132 a year all in, +15.5% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$66,500

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
57/100+2
Scarcity25% of total
61/100+8
Demand durability20% of total
74/100+8
Liquidity15% of total
51/100-1
Risk resilience10% of total
0/100-36
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 55/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
57/100
Baseline84 pts
− 11.0% of value a year to run-27 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)57 pts
Scarcity25% weight
61/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 90 survivors estimated in Australia+41 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)61 pts
Demand durability20% weight
74/100
Baseline58 pts
+ The car that made BMW a driver's brand, re-rating about three years behind the E30 M3+14 pts
+ Up 40 to 70 per cent over five years and still moving+10 pts
− 96kW and 9.4 seconds to 100km/h is slow by any modern measure-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)74 pts
Liquidity15% weight
51/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 70 days on market+30 pts
+ 9 sales a year+9 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)51 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
0/100
Baseline40 pts
− Rust in strut towers, floors, battery tray and screen surrounds runs to $24,000-16 pts
− Carburettor cars converted to tii specification are worth half the money-12 pts
− No Australian price evidence of any kind sits behind the value-8 pts
− No Australian transaction behind the value-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$7,320a year
Share of value per year
11.0%
Scheduled servicing$1,65023%
Tyres, annualised$1,12015%
Registration and CTP$88012%
Insurance$2,09029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,58022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$69,160
Running costs × 5 years$36,600
Median exit, net of selling cost$75,102
All-in annualised over 5 years$6,132/yr
Share of value per year9.2%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.3%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.9%a year
The projection falls 7.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$66,500
Stamp duty$2,660
Running costs x 5 years$36,600
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$108,585
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.0L NA inline four, Kugelfischer mechanical injection
Power / torque96 kW / 176 Nm
0-100 km/h9.4 s
Transmission4sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,010 kg
Built worldwide38,703
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors90
Australian sales / year9
Typical days on market70 days
Launch priceNot established

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Original factory paint, unresprayed+8%
An original period colour confirmed against the build plate+4%
Resprayed over earlier rust repair-10%
Options
Original Kugelfischer pump with matching numbers, physically verified+35%
Documented rust-free shell with underbody photographs+20%
Australian-delivered rather than a later Japanese or European import+10%
Odometer sensitivity±1.8% per 10,000 km vs 55,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$76,832
+15.5% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $66,500.
Even odds it lands between $62,889 and $93,036.
$50,325 lowhigh $107,638
The shaded range is even money and 48% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 73% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$10,332 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $36,600.
Duty and expected selling costs: $4,390.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $30,660, or $6,132 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Up 40 to 70 per cent over five years and still moving, having re-rated about three years behind the E30 M3 it made possible. Only 38,703 tiis were built, and genuine Australian-delivered right-hand-drive cars exist, one of them sold new by Capitol Motors in Sydney in July 1974.

The case against

There is no Australian sale, pass-in or asking price for a tii anywhere in the record, so the value is unanchored locally. Rust in the strut towers, floors and screen surrounds is a $24,000 job, and a converted carburettor car is worth about half a genuine tii.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1No Australian transaction or asking price of any kind exists for a tii
Risk 2Carburettor 2002s converted to tii specification, easily half the money
Risk 3Rust in strut towers, floors, battery tray and screen surrounds at around $24,000
Rust in front strut towers, floors, battery tray, lower front guards and screen surrounds$24,000
Kugelfischer mechanical injection pump rebuild, few specialists and possible offshore freight$4,500
Front suspension bushes and steering box$2,750
M10 timing chain and tensioner$2,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$66,500
Historical price
2016 · $41,2002026 · $66,500
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
This record has no Australian price evidence at all

Not a sale, not a pass-in, not a dealer ask. Both sale lists are empty. The value below is research placed against restoration cost and international money rather than fitted to local transactions, and this page says so instead of dressing it up.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
An Australian price guide puts this car at $16,300 to $18,000

That is used-hatchback money for a Kugelfischer-injected tii and it is wrong by a factor of about four. It is worth stating plainly, because that is the figure an automated feed finds first, and because it is the second Australian guide in this segment to return nonsense on a low-volume variant.

The local auction number that circulates is not a tii

Shannons sold a plain BMW 2002 coupe for $25,000 in early 2022. That is a floor for a carburettor car and nothing more, and reading it as a tii result is the most likely way to misprice this model in Australia.

The injection pump is the asset

A genuine tii with its original Kugelfischer pump and matching numbers is easily worth twice a carburettor 2002 converted to tii specification, and a pump rebuild is $4,500 with few local specialists and possible offshore freight. Genuine Australian-delivered right-hand-drive cars do exist, one sold new by Capitol Motors in Sydney on 10 July 1974, but BMW Australia did not exist until 1979 and no delivery figure survives, so most local cars are later imports.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a BMW 2002 against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a BMW 2002 tii, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.