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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Porsche Carrera GT
Valuation · Porsche · 980 · 2004-06

Porsche Carrera GT

5.7L NA V10 · 450 kW / 590 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 11 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$2,200,000
Must gain each year to break even
+3.6%
The projection clears it. 14 of 244 in the library do.
CarQuant score
72/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$2,200,000
$1,544,568 lowhigh $4,927,237
Researched, no recorded transaction
Never sold new in Australia. A handful privately imported, all left-hand drive
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a Carrera GT for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$2,200,000
At about 10,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $2,200,000 · modelled median at five years $2,813,069
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $2,145,837 to $3,925,121
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($1,544,568 to $4,927,237). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 72/100, ranking 11 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $55,800 a year (2.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is -$39,214 a year.
The model's five year median is $2,813,069, a +27.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $1,544,568.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)-$39,214 a year all in, +27.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$2,200,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
76/100+7
Scarcity25% of total
100/100+35
Demand durability20% of total
100/100+22
Liquidity15% of total
4/100-28
Risk resilience10% of total
36/100+2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 72/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
76/100
Baseline82 pts
− 2.5% of value a year to run-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Scarcity25% weight
100/100
Baseline88 pts
+ 1,270 built and only a handful in the country, none delivered new+26 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Demand durability20% weight
100/100
Baseline76 pts
+ A race-derived V10, a six-speed manual and minimal electronic intervention give it the strongest analogue credentials of any modern hypercar+24 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Liquidity15% weight
4/100
Baseline0 pts
+ No functioning Australian market; any sale is negotiated internationally+2 pts
+ 240 days on market+2 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)4 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
36/100
Baseline62 pts
− Left-hand drive restricts registration to concessional schemes in most states-16 pts
− The ceramic clutch is a five-figure consumable whose condition cannot be assessed without invoices-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)36 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$55,800a year
Share of value per year
2.5%
Scheduled servicing$12,00022%
Tyres, annualised$6,00011%
Registration and CTP$8001%
Insurance$22,00039%
Sinking fund (failure table)$15,00027%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$2,288,000
Running costs × 5 years$279,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$2,763,069
All-in annualised over 5 years-$39,214/yr
Share of value per year-1.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
3.6%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+5.0%a year
The projection clears the hurdle by 1.4 points a year. On these assumptions the car covers its own costs and leaves a surplus.
Purchase$2,200,000
Stamp duty$88,000
Running costs x 5 years$279,000
Selling cost at exit, 2.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$2,626,698
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine5.7L NA V10
Power / torque450 kW / 590 Nm
0-100 km/h3.9 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,380 kg
Built worldwide1,270
Delivered to AustraliaNone. Every car here is an import
Effective AU survivors6 (imported)
Australian sales / year0
Typical days on market240 days
Launch price$770,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Fayence Yellow+6%
Guards Red+4%
GT Silver Metallic+2%
Basalt Black+1%
Options
Ceramic clutch recently replaced with invoices+6%
Full Porsche Centre service history+8%
Original fitted luggage and books+3%
Odometer sensitivity±3% per 10,000 km vs 10,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$2,813,069
+27.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $2,200,000.
Even odds it lands between $2,145,837 and $3,925,121.
$1,544,568 lowhigh $4,927,237
The shaded range is even money and 83% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 94% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$613,069 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $279,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $138,000.
Net cost of five years of ownership: -$196,070, or -$39,214 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The analogue hypercar the market has settled on: a Le Mans-derived V10, a manual gearbox, and a wood-topped shifter that has become shorthand for the whole pre-electronic era. American results have roughly doubled since 2018 and the trajectory has been one-way for a decade.

The case against

Every car is left-hand drive, so Australian registration runs through concessional schemes and the resident buyer pool is small. The launch price shown is the 2004 German list converted, because no Australian price ever existed, and the value here is inference from a foreign market with a currency in the middle of it. The car is also famously unforgiving at the limit, which shapes its insurance and its inspection requirements alike.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Left-hand-drive registration friction in most states
Risk 2Ceramic clutch condition and replacement cost
Risk 3No domestic price discovery at all
Ceramic clutch replacement$45,000
Major service at a marque specialist$12,000
Tyre set in the original specialised sizes$6,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$2,200,000
Historical price
2016 · $900,0002026 · $2,200,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Never sold new in Australia

Every one of the 1,270 cars was built left-hand drive, so none was delivered here and the handful in the country arrived as private imports. Registry pages place cars in Perth and at the former Gosford museum, whose example was offered at $1,450,000 in 2018, the last domestic price point on record.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (2 more)
The American market carries the level now

Ordinary cars have traded between roughly US$1,400,000 and US$1,900,000 in recent years, converting to about $2,150,000 to $2,900,000.

Why the figure sits at the bottom of that band

Left-hand drive is the structural discount. A 2004 to 2006 LHD car registers only under concessional or club schemes in most states, which narrows the resident buyer pool to collectors who accept restricted road use, and a car that cannot be ordinarily registered does not command the ordinary converted price. The 2018 domestic ask at $1,450,000 predates the model's strongest run; the market has roughly doubled in American terms since. The $2,200,000 carried here is a researched estimate and no domestic transaction of any kind stands behind it.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Porsche Carrera GT against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

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Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Porsche Carrera GT, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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