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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 812 GTS
Valuation · Ferrari · F152M · 2019-23

Ferrari 812 GTS

6.5L NA V12 · 588 kW / 718 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 55 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$880,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.1%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
61/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Asks only
Advertisements only; an ask is not a transaction
$880,000
$682,029 lowhigh $1,597,541
Asking prices only, no recorded sale
One Australian asking price. 19 international lots, 44% clearing
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 812 GTS for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$880,000
At about 9,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $880,000 · modelled median at five years $1,066,544
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $864,289 to $1,345,848
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($682,029 to $1,597,541). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 61/100, ranking 55 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $28,750 a year (3.3% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $1,081 a year.
The model's five year median is $1,066,544, a +21.2% move, with the tenth percentile at $682,029.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Asks only0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-10%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$1,081 a year all in, +21.2% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$880,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
3 rows on record
$1.2m$1.0m$817k
20262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $880kasking
Every row, with its price and note (3) ↓
2026ASK$1,050,000Asking
ASKING. Ferrari Adelaide, Ferrari Approved. 2025 car, 742 km, Grigio Silverstone over Nero
2026ASK$1,188,888Asking
ASKING. 2023, 2,304km, dealer VIC. A listing, not a transaction
2026ASK$899,900Asking
ASKING. Ferrari Richmond, Ferrari Approved. 2023 car, 9,099 km, Verde British over Cuoio. A listing, not a transaction
0 completed Australian sales of 3 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
65/100-4
Scarcity25% of total
72/100+7
Demand durability20% of total
80/100+2
Liquidity15% of total
6/100-26
Risk resilience10% of total
66/100+32
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 61/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
65/100
Baseline74 pts
− 3.3% of value a year to run-9 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)65 pts
Scarcity25% weight
72/100
Baseline34 pts
+ Around 42 cars in the country+30 pts
+ First front-engined open-top V12 Ferrari in fifty years+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Demand durability20% weight
80/100
Baseline50 pts
+ Open-top version of the last unassisted V12+20 pts
+ Rarer than the coupe in every market+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)80 pts
Liquidity15% weight
6/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 120 days on market+10 pts
+ 4 sales a year+2 pts
− 44% international clearance across 19 lots, among the weakest measured here-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)6 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
66/100
Baseline88 pts
− Very few local transactions to price against-14 pts
− Convertibles historically trail coupes in the collector market-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$28,750a year
Share of value per year
3.3%
Scheduled servicing$7,60026%
Tyres, annualised$3,60013%
Registration and CTP$7503%
Insurance$9,20032%
Sinking fund (failure table)$7,60026%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$915,200
Running costs × 5 years$143,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$1,053,544
All-in annualised over 5 years$1,081/yr
Share of value per year0.1%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.1%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+3.9%a year
The projection falls 0.2 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$880,000
Stamp duty$35,200
Running costs x 5 years$143,750
Selling cost at exit, 1.5% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$1,074,828
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine6.5L NA V12
Power / torque588 kW / 718 Nm
0-100 km/h3 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,600 kg
Built worldwide3,000
Delivered to Australia42
Effective AU survivors42
Australian sales / year4
Typical days on market120 days
Launch price$675,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Rosso Corsa+1%
Grigio Silverstone+2%
Blu Corsa+4%
Giallo Modena+3%
Options
Carbon fibre exterior package+7%
Suspension lifter+6%
Carbon racing seats+5%
Colour-matched hard top surround+3%
Passenger display+3%
Odometer sensitivity±2% per 10,000 km vs 9,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$1,066,544
+21.2% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $880,000.
Even odds it lands between $864,289 and $1,345,848.
$682,029 lowhigh $1,597,541
The shaded range is even money and 56% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 87% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$186,544 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $143,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $48,200.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $5,405, or $1,081 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Rarer than the Superfast, and the first front-engined open-top V12 Ferrari in half a century. Both of those are the kind of first-and-last framing the market pays for.

The case against

Four sales a year locally is barely a market at all, and convertibles have historically lagged the equivalent coupe among collectors. Internationally the model has cleared only eight of nineteen lots in four years, and prices have fallen from a US$770,000 sale in January 2022 to a US$473,000-US$638,000 band since. Australia has one asking price and no auction result to test that against.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Almost no local price discovery
Risk 2Convertible discount versus the coupe
Risk 3Roof mechanism complexity
Retractable hard top mechanism$16,000
Dual-clutch service$9,500

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueAsks only · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$880,000
Historical price
2020 · $675,0002026 · $880,000
Asks only
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Australian evidence

One asking price only. Ferrari Adelaide offered a 2025 car with 742km through the Ferrari Approved programme at $1,050,000 in 2026. No Australian auction result exists for the model.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
International context

Nineteen lots and 44 per cent clearing once one apparent re-offering is collapsed - among the weakest in this library, alongside the Huracan and the Gallardo.

Correction to an earlier reading

A smaller version of this record was interpreted here as a clean bid-ask standoff, with every completed sale at or below US$638,000 and every failed reserve starting above US$575,000. That was wrong. A fuller record shows a US$770,000 sale in January 2022, which is higher than anything since. The honest reading is a market that peaked and fell. Standard cars made US$770,000 in January 2022, then US$473,000 in August 2024, US$550,000 in January 2025, CHF460,000 in June 2025, US$538,500 in August 2025 and US$638,000 in January 2026. The failures cluster in 2022 and 2023 at reserves of US$680,000 to US$800,000 - sellers asking 2022 money after the market had moved. The dispersion is tight at 1.18 times upper quartile to lower, so these were comparable cars throughout. A Tailor Made car at US$742,000 and an Ispirazioni at US$995,000 are one-off commissions and are set aside.

Revalued August 2026, $700,000 to $880,000

The carried figure failed the simplest test a researched estimate must pass - it sat below every price observable for the model. Ferrari's own Approved network asks $899,900 for a 9,099-kilometre 2023 car and $1,050,000 for a near-new 2025; an independent dealer asks $1,188,888; and the most recent American sales convert to roughly $830,000 to $980,000. Asking prices set a ceiling rather than a level, but a value forty per cent under the cheapest factory-backed ask in the country is not conservative, it is stale. The revised figure sits inside the converted band of recent sales and a normal trade margin under the cheapest domestic ask. Still no Australian transaction, still a researched estimate - what changed is the level it is researched against.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 812 GTS against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 812 GTS, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.