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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Toyota Celica GT-Four
Valuation · Toyota · ST205 · 1994-99

Toyota Celica GT-Four

2.0L turbo inline four (3S-GTE) · 179 kW / 304 Nm · 5sp manual · AWD
CONSIDERRated within the under $30k band · 23 of 46 at this money
Model value
$28,000
Must gain each year to break even
+14.7%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
45/100
Scored against the under $30k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$28,000
$17,587 lowhigh $30,300
Calibrated to recorded sales
Eight Australian results between $22,000 and $45,150. The two most recent are $27,100 and $22,000

Looking at a Celica for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$28,000
At about 130,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $28,000 · modelled median at five years $22,545
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $19,937 to $26,624
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($17,587 to $30,300). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 45/100, ranking 23 of 46 in the under $30k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $4,910 a year (17.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $6,415 a year.
The model's five year median is $22,545, a -19.5% move, with the tenth percentile at $17,587.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured8 recorded sales
Off its peak
-33%
Value band
moderate
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$6,415 a year all in, -19.5% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$28,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
9 rows on record
$48k$34k$19k
202120222023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $28kwhat the model expects across 80k–295k kmsoldcontext, excluded
Every row, with its price and note (9) ↓
Library value against the sold record
8 sales · median $30,069
Value $28,000
$22,000$45,150
Nov 2024Collecting Cars$27,100Sold
SOLD. 14 Nov 2024, Lewisham NSW, 295,039km. GROUP A RALLYE, NUMBER 70 OF THE 77 ALLOCATED TO AUSTRALIA - numbered plaque ahead of the gear knob, factory leather, Glacier White, HKS Silent Hi-Power muffler the only modification. Timing belt May 2016 at 291,000km, serviced January 2024. The highest distance in the set, the rarest car in it, and mid-pack money
Jul 2024Collecting Cars$22,000Sold
SOLD. 5 Jul 2024, Sandringham VIC, 79,997km indicated, not warranted. Japanese import, Silver Metallic, recently acquired by the seller and offered on. A FULL DOORS-CLOSED RESPRAY IN APRIL 2024, three months before the sale, wheels refurbished, engine bay acid cleaned, Momo Race wheel and Blitz turbo timer fitted. The lowest distance in the set and the weakest result
Aug 2023Collecting Cars$26,502Context, excluded
SOLD. 15 Aug 2023, Carrara QLD, 120,600km, ST185 RC - the earlier generation homologation car, not the ST205 this record describes. Context only
Jul 2023Collecting Cars$28,750Sold
SOLD. 27 Jul 2023, Mordialloc VIC, 129,224km. Japanese import, white, lightly modified: 18-inch Advan Racing RCII wheels, C-One rear strut bar, TRD steering wheel, Kenwood head unit. Cam belt at 84,000km, oil at 129,000km
Mar 2023Collecting Cars$31,380Sold
SOLD. 20 Mar 2023, Sydney NSW, 88,126km FROM NEW, CERTIFIED WITH FULL JAPANESE DOCUMENTATION, and VERIFIED by the house. Japanese import complied 2021, Alpine Silver, correct three-spoke wheels, electric sunroof, highly original with the owner's manual, service booklet, dealer directory and invoices. Cambelt 2020, major service at 87,000km. The top of the set, and the most documented car in it
Feb 2022Shannons$41,500Sold
1994 GT-Four Group A Rallye, ST205. Odometer not published. The more recent of the two Shannons results and slightly lower
Feb 2022Shannons$29,888Sold
GT-Four, variant unspecified in the official results sheet - likely a standard car rather than the numbered Group A Rallye this entry prices
Aug 2021Collecting Cars$30,250Sold
SOLD. 30 Aug 2021, Blackburn VIC, 83,654km. Japanese import registered here July 2021, Baltic Blue, maintained in unmodified original condition apart from a JVC head unit, original three-spoke wheels. Small scrape on the exhaust tip, corrosion on a boot strut, minor retouching to the paint. Roadworthy passed July 2021
Aug 2020Shannons$45,150Sold
1994 GT-Four Group A Rallye - an ST205, and the Australian-delivered numbered car rather than the earlier ST185. Odometer not published. The highest Australian result on record for the model
8 completed Australian sales of 9 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the under $30k band median
46 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
11/100-24
Scarcity25% of total
96/100+55
Demand durability20% of total
68/100+12
Liquidity15% of total
0/100-59
Risk resilience10% of total
39/100+2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 45/100. Medians are computed live from the 46 cars currently in the under $30k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
11/100
Baseline80 pts
− 17.5% of value a year to run-69 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)11 pts
Scarcity25% weight
96/100
Baseline70 pts
+ Only an estimated 320 ever imported to Australia+18 pts
+ WRC homologation model, genuinely rare worldwide+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)96 pts
Demand durability20% weight
68/100
Baseline50 pts
+ Group A rally heritage drives strong collector interest+18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)68 pts
Liquidity15% weight
0/100
Baseline10 pts
− Very thin market, 62 days on market-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
39/100
Baseline45 pts
− 3S-GTE reliable but AWD driveline parts scarce-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)39 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 4,407 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$4,910a year
Share of value per year
17.5%
Scheduled servicing$98020%
Tyres, annualised$78016%
Registration and CTP$80016%
Insurance$1,45030%
Sinking fund (failure table)$90018%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$29,120
Running costs × 5 years$24,550
Median exit, net of selling cost$21,595
All-in annualised over 5 years$6,415/yr
Share of value per year22.9%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
14.7%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-4.2%a year
The projection falls 18.9 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$28,000
Stamp duty$1,120
Running costs x 5 years$24,550
Selling cost at exit, 3.4% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$55,555
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.0L turbo inline four (3S-GTE)
Power / torque179 kW / 304 Nm
0-100 km/h5.9 s
Transmission5sp manual
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,380 kg
Built worldwide4,900
Delivered to Australia320
Effective AU survivors130
Australian sales / year20
Typical days on market62 days
Launch price$58,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Group A White+4%
Black+1%
Red+2%
Options
Group A Rallye numbered plaque verified+8%
Unmodified 3S-GTE+8%
Full Japanese documentation and export certificate+9%
Odometer certified from new rather than indicated+7%
Original paint, never resprayed+6%
Correct factory three-spoke wheels+4%
Service booklet and invoices present+5%
Odometer sensitivity±0.3% per 10,000 km vs 130,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$22,545
-19.5% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $28,000.
Even odds it lands between $19,937 and $26,624.
$17,587 lowhigh $30,300
The shaded range is even money and 34% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 92% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$5,455 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $24,550.
Duty and expected selling costs: $2,070.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $32,075, or $6,415 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

A genuine WRC homologation model with only around 320 estimated Australian imports, giving it real scarcity within the JDM turbo coupe segment. Values are up about 40 per cent since 2016 on collector demand for Group A rally heritage, though a third off the 2022 peak.

The case against

The AWD driveline and turbo system cost more to maintain than a two-wheel-drive equivalent, and specialist parts are increasingly sourced from Japan. At 62 days on market it is one of the slowest sellers in this comparison set. The two Australian sales are both of the Group A Rallye homologation car rather than a standard GT-Four, so a non-homologation car should sit below this figure, and the more recent of the two sales was the lower.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1AWD driveline parts scarcity
Risk 2Turbo/boost system age-related wear
Risk 3Compliance and import history verification
Centre diff/driveline service$1,800
Turbo rebuild$2,400
Compliance verificationdocumentation

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 8 recorded sales
Carried value
$28,000
Historical price
2016 · $20,0002026 · $28,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Six ST205 results and the odometer is flat - now measured rather than assumed

Across the six the slope is 0.08 per cent per 10,000 kilometres with a correlation of minus 0.06. Not weak: absent. The set spans 79,997 to 295,039 kilometres and $22,000 to $31,380, and the two extremes are the wrong way round - the lowest-distance car made the least money and the highest-distance car made more than it. kmPct stays at a nominal 0.3 and no thesis written off this record should lean on the reading.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (7 more)
What prices a GT-four is documentation and originality, and the lot pages say it plainly

The top of the set, $31,380 at Sydney in March 2023, is 88,126 kilometres FROM NEW certified with full Japanese documentation, highly original, with the owner's manual, service booklet, dealer directory and invoices, and the house verified it. The bottom of the set, $22,000 at Sandringham in July 2024, is 79,997 kilometres INDICATED and not warranted, on a car given a full doors-closed respray three months before it was sold. Eight thousand kilometres apart and forty-three per cent apart in price. The gap is paperwork.

The rarest car in the set is not the dearest

$27,100 at Lewisham in November 2024 is number 70 of the 77 Group A Rallyes allocated to Australia, with the numbered plaque and the factory leather - and it made mid-pack money because it has 295,039 kilometres. So distance is not free; it is simply outranked by everything else, and on the one car where rarity and distance pull against each other, they cancel.

The value moves $29,000 to $28,000

The six-car fit at the 130,000 kilometres this record treats as standard returns $27,670, the median is $27,925 and the mean $27,663. The old figure sat above all three.

Two rows are held as context

An ST185 RC at $26,502 and a 1991 ST185 Group A Rallye at $35,050, both the earlier homologation car rather than the ST205 this record describes.

The numbered Group a Rallye premium is unresolved, and the chart made it visible

This record prices the plaque as an option worth 8 per cent. The three Australian Group A Rallye results do not agree with each other or with that figure: $45,150 at Shannons in August 2020 and $41,500 at Shannons in February 2022, both with no published odometer, sit 48 to 61 per cent above the standard car - while $27,100 at Lewisham in November 2024 sits marginally BELOW it, on 295,039 kilometres. One says nothing, two say half as much again, and the two are from a different auction house in the 2020-22 window when Japanese performance cars peaked everywhere.

The option is held at 8 per cent

Rather than moved to fit two results from one house at the top of a cycle. What the record needs is a numbered car with a published odometer selling in the current market, and until one does the premium is an open question stated as one - the same treatment the MX-5 SP and the STI S207 get.

A correction while here

One of those two rows described a 1994 Group A Rallye as the ST185 homologation car. It is an ST205. The ST185 RC is the earlier car and is the separate context row above. SOURCING: five of the six ST205 results are now read from the Collecting Cars lot pages themselves rather than an aggregator summary, which is where the documentation and modification detail above comes from. The two Shannons figures are house results with no odometer attached.

This page prices the model.
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This model, today$28,000
Half of sales are further out than$3,130
The report$249
13×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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