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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Nissan 200SX S-package
Valuation · Nissan · S14/S14A · 1994-2000

Nissan 200SX S-package

2.0L turbo inline four (SR20DET) · 165 kW / 275 Nm · 5sp manual · RWD
BUYRated within the under $30k band · 1 of 46 at this money
Model value
$29,000
Must gain each year to break even
+12.8%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
57/100
Scored against the under $30k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$29,000
$42,135 lowhigh $60,537
Modelled estimate
No recorded Australian sale stands behind this figure. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.

Looking at a 200SX for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$29,000
At about 160,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $29,000 · modelled median at five years $50,186
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $45,951 to $55,631
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($42,135 to $60,537). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 57/100, ranking 1 of 46 in the under $30k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $4,230 a year (14.6% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $395 a year.
The model's five year median is $50,186, a +73.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $42,135.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured6 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
No external evidence. A modelled estimate whose structure is more useful than its level.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$395 a year all in, +73.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$29,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
6 rows on record
$47k$30k$12k
20222023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $29kwhat the model expects across 34k–184k kmsold
Every row, with its price and note (6) ↓
Library value against the sold record
6 sales · median $29,625
Value $29,000
$20,750$42,000
Jul 2026Collecting Cars$32,000Sold
SOLD. 31 Jul 2026, Pakenham VIC, 143,640km indicated. Silvia-badged Japanese import complied 2025, Aspen White Pearl, repainted. GRADE R ON ITS JAPANESE AUCTION REPORT - front and rear repairs - and about 200kW on a dyno: Nismo Super Coppermix clutch and LSD, Link G4X, Tomei manifold, Blitz front-mount, Origin aero, coilovers. The dearest car in the set and the one with the worst history
Nov 2025Collecting Cars$29,750Sold
SOLD. 27 Nov 2025, Werribee VIC. ODOMETER NOT USED: the reading is 97,205km, but the listing prints the car's own service table showing 161,281km in January 2006 and 173,082km in November 2006. Australian-delivered, third owner twelve years, HKS 2.1 stroker, Haltech Elite, GReddy turbo, Nismo two-way LSD, Tein coilovers, full respray. Excluded from the distance fit
Oct 2024Collecting Cars$26,569Sold
SOLD. 10 Oct 2024, Shelley WA, 115,626km
Oct 2024Collecting Cars$20,750Sold
SOLD. 1 Oct 2024, Condell Park NSW, 183,777km from new. Series 1.5 Limited, one of 283 Australian-delivered and one of 55 in Blue Emerald Green, in one family from new, largely original, with a service trail running from 1,180km in 1996. The most original and best documented car in the set, and the cheapest
Nov 2023Collecting Cars$29,500Sold
SOLD. 2 Nov 2023, Mordialloc VIC, 34,303km. K's Aero SE, Silvia-badged Japanese import, 162kW, Dark Blue Pearl, unmodified but for an HKS intake and a boot-mounted subwoofer. The lowest-distance car in the set, and it did not make the most money
Nov 2021Collecting Cars$42,000Sold
SOLD. 4 Nov 2021, Epping NSW, 112,792km. The peak of the JDM run and 32 per cent above anything since. Do not value off this result
6 completed Australian sales of 6 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the under $30k band median
46 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
44/100+9
Scarcity25% of total
63/100+22
Demand durability20% of total
82/100+26
Liquidity15% of total
42/100-17
Risk resilience10% of total
49/100+12
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 57/100. Medians are computed live from the 46 cars currently in the under $30k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
44/100
Baseline80 pts
− 14.6% of value a year to run-36 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)44 pts
Scarcity25% weight
63/100
Baseline45 pts
+ 1,600 estimated AU survivors after heavy drift-scene attrition+10 pts
+ Genuine unmodified examples now a small minority+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)63 pts
Demand durability20% weight
82/100
Baseline60 pts
+ Drift and grip scene demand keeps prices climbing+18 pts
+ Sunlight Yellow cars attract a strong premium+4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)82 pts
Liquidity15% weight
42/100
Baseline30 pts
+ Active enthusiast market, 40 days on market+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)42 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
49/100
Baseline55 pts
− Drift-scene history common, drivetrain wear varies widely-12 pts
+ SR20 is a robust, well documented engine+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)49 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 5,517 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$4,230a year
Share of value per year
14.6%
Scheduled servicing$78018%
Tyres, annualised$70017%
Registration and CTP$80019%
Insurance$1,25030%
Sinking fund (failure table)$70017%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$30,160
Running costs × 5 years$21,150
Median exit, net of selling cost$49,336
All-in annualised over 5 years$395/yr
Share of value per year1.4%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
12.8%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+11.6%a year
The projection falls 1.2 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$29,000
Stamp duty$1,160
Running costs x 5 years$21,150
Selling cost at exit, 2.9% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$52,859
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.0L turbo inline four (SR20DET)
Power / torque165 kW / 275 Nm
0-100 km/h6.5 s
Transmission5sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,260 kg
Built worldwide220,000
Delivered to Australia4,200
Effective AU survivors1,600
Australian sales / year180
Typical days on market40 days
Launch price$42,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Sunlight Yellow+6%
Black+2%
Red-1%
Options
Factory aero kit+3%
Unmodified SR20DET, standard turbo+8%
Odometer sensitivity±1.6% per 10,000 km vs 160,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$50,186
+73.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $29,000.
Even odds it lands between $45,951 and $55,631.
$42,135 lowhigh $60,537
The shaded range is even money and 21% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 100% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$21,186 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $21,150.
Duty and expected selling costs: $2,010.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $1,975, or $395 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Values have climbed from under $10k in 2016 to $23k now as drift and grip communities compete for clean examples. The SR20DET has deep aftermarket support and parts remain affordable relative to other JDM turbo fours.

The case against

A large share of the surviving 1,600 cars in Australia carry drift-scene history with unknown drivetrain wear. Genuine, unmodified S14s are a small minority and buyers need a full inspection before paying premium money.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Drift/track history hard to verify
Risk 2Diff and gearbox wear from hard use
Risk 3Rust in rear quarters on early cars
Diff rebuild$1,600
Gearbox synchro replacement$1,900
Rear quarter rust repair$1,200

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 6 recorded sales
Carried value
$29,000
Historical price
2016 · $9,8002026 · $29,000
Measured
No external evidence. A modelled estimate whose structure is more useful than its level.
Six Australian results, and the lot pages broke this record's main conclusion

This entry previously read the six as saying distance barely prices an S14, and set kmPct to 1.0 on that basis. Its strongest single piece of evidence was a $29,750 sale at Werribee, Victoria, read at 97,205 kilometres against a $32,000 sale at 143,640 kilometres - the car with 46,000 more kilometres making 7.6 per cent more.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (8 more)
That pair no longer exists

The Werribee lot page prints the car's own service table: 161,281 kilometres in January 2006 and 173,082 kilometres in November 2006, against an advertised 97,205 today. The reading is not that car's distance, the listing does not warrant it, and the row is now excluded from the distance fit.

On the four cars whose odometers are not contradicted

The slope is 1.6 per cent per 10,000 kilometres at the distance this record expects, correlation minus 0.54. That is weak and stated as weak - four points cannot carry more - but it is not flat, and kmPct moves 1.0 to 1.6.

What actually prices an S14 is the build, and the two ends of the set say so plainly

The dearest car, $32,000 at Pakenham in July 2026, carries a Grade R Japanese auction report - front and rear accident repair - and a respray, and it made the most money in the set because it is properly built: Nismo clutch and limited-slip differential, Link G4X, Tomei manifold, Blitz intercooler, coilovers, around 200kW on a dyno. The cheapest, $20,750 at Condell Park in October 2024, is an Australian-delivered Series 1.5 Limited, one of 283 and one of 55 in its colour, in one family from new, with a service trail from 1,180 kilometres - and standard, at 183,777 genuine kilometres. Originality and documented history are what this library normally rewards and this market did the opposite. A thesis on an S14 should price the engine build and the suspension, not the service book.

2021 Was the top and nothing has been near it since

A 1995 car made $42,000 at Epping, New South Wales in November 2021, thirty-two per cent above the next highest in the set, and five years have not retested it. Any figure worked off a 2021 JDM result is worked off a peak.

The market troughed in 2024 and is rising

$20,750 and $26,569 in October 2024, $29,750 in November 2025, $32,000 in July 2026.

The badge matters and the aggregator mixes it

- cars listed as 200SX are Australian-delivered, cars listed as Silvia are Japanese imports of the same chassis, and this library docks an import twelve per cent on a model sold here new. Three of the six are Silvia-badged.

Trim caveat

This record is the S-package specifically and these are generic S14s, so they frame the number rather than set it exactly.

Where the value sits against the fit

$29,000 is the median of the five post-peak results. The four-point distance fit, carried out to the 160,000 kilometres this record treats as standard, implies about $25,500. The value is therefore at the top of what the evidence supports. It is held rather than cut because 160,000 is above the median distance of the set and the tail of a four-point fit is the least reliable part of it, and the next Australian result decides it. SOURCING: four of the six are now read from the Collecting Cars lot pages themselves rather than from an aggregator summary, which is why the condition and modification detail above exists at all. The remaining two are aggregator-surfaced and unconfirmed.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Nissan 200SX S-package is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

Backed by 6 recorded Australian sales of this model. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$29,000
Half of sales are further out than$3,242
The report$249
13×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Nissan 200SX S-package, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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200SX for sale?Priced by a person, $249