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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a FPV GT Boss 290
Valuation · FPV · BA · 2003-05

FPV GT Boss 290

5.4L V8 (Boss 290) · 290 kW / 520 Nm · 6sp manual or 4sp auto · RWD
AVOIDRated within the $30k to $100k band · 74 of 94 at this money
Model value
$42,000
Must gain each year to break even
+10.4%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
50/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$42,000
$30,615 lowhigh $58,152
Calibrated to a thin record
One Australian result and it is a GT-P Build No. 001 at $61,500, the dearer sibling. A standard BA GT has still not been named in the auction record
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a GT for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$42,000
At about 140,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $42,000 · modelled median at five years $47,137
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $38,446 to $52,931
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($30,615 to $58,152). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 50/100, ranking 74 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Risk resilience is the strongest input, scarcity the weakest.
Running it costs about $4,750 a year (11.3% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $4,239 a year.
The model's five year median is $47,137, a +12.2% move, with the tenth percentile at $30,615.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$4,239 a year all in, +12.2% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity requires a decade of attrition
Negotiate from$42,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
1 row on record
Every row, with its price and note (1) ↓
Apr 2021Shannons$61,500Sold
FPV GT-P Build No. 001, lot 145 - the Brembo-equipped premium sibling with a first-build number, trades above the standard GT this entry prices
1 completed Australian sale of 1 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
54/100-1
Scarcity25% of total
24/100-29
Demand durability20% of total
56/100-10
Liquidity15% of total
65/100+13
Risk resilience10% of total
68/100+32
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 50/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
54/100
Baseline82 pts
− 11.3% of value a year to run-28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)54 pts
Scarcity25% weight
24/100
Baseline14 pts
+ Around 2,600 built, most surviving but few kept stock+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)24 pts
Demand durability20% weight
56/100
Baseline28 pts
+ First GT of the FPV era, a badge with 1971 in its bloodline+20 pts
+ GT-F and Falcon shutdown pulling the line upward+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)56 pts
Liquidity15% weight
65/100
Baseline13 pts
+ 52 days on market+36 pts
+ 40 sales a year+16 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)65 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
68/100
Baseline90 pts
− Hard-used survivor pool, deferred maintenance-14 pts
− Auto cars and repaints diluting the collector case-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)68 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,364 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$4,750a year
Share of value per year
11.3%
Scheduled servicing$80017%
Tyres, annualised$85018%
Registration and CTP$75016%
Insurance$1,35028%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,00021%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$43,680
Running costs × 5 years$23,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$46,237
All-in annualised over 5 years$4,239/yr
Share of value per year10.1%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.4%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.3%a year
The projection falls 8.1 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$42,000
Stamp duty$1,680
Running costs x 5 years$23,750
Selling cost at exit, 2.1% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$68,907
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine5.4L V8 (Boss 290)
Power / torque290 kW / 520 Nm
0-100 km/h5.7 s
Transmission6sp manual or 4sp auto
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,855 kg
Built worldwide2,600
Delivered to Australia2,600
Effective AU survivors1,900
Australian sales / year40
Typical days on market52 days
Launch price$59,950

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Blueprint+3%
Rapid Yellow+3%
Vixen+2%
Winter White0%
Options
Manual over auto+6%
GT-P specification (Brembo, premium trim)+8%
Unmodified Boss 290 with books+8%
Odometer sensitivity±1% per 10,000 km vs 140,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$47,137
+12.2% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $42,000.
Even odds it lands between $38,446 and $52,931.
$30,615 lowhigh $58,152
The shaded range is even money and 38% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 64% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$5,137 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $23,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $2,580.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $21,195, or $4,239 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The first GT of the modern era at a fraction of the run-out cars' money, with a fixed production count and the whole Falcon line now finished forever. The cheap way into a badge whose flagships already made six figures.

The case against

The only auction result under this record is a GT-P, a different and dearer car. The collector market has so far paid for the last and rarest GTs rather than the first ones, and most survivors have been driven like Falcons because they are Falcons.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Neglected maintenance on Boss engines
Risk 2Modified and thrashed examples
Risk 3Auto-dominated survivor pool
Boss 290 timing chain and tensioners$3,500
Diff bushes and tailshaft centre bearing$1,100
BTR auto overhaul (auto cars)$3,200

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$42,000
Historical price
2016 · $28,0002026 · $42,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
One Australian result sits under this record and it is not a standard car

An FPV GT-P, build number 001, made $61,500 at Shannons in April 2021, lot 145 - the Brembo-equipped premium sibling wearing the first build number of its run, and it trades above the car this entry prices. It brackets the value from above rather than setting it, and at $42,000 this record sits thirty-two per cent under it.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (4 more)
A standard BA GT has still not been named,

So the figure remains research positioned against the cars around it in this library: the GT-F 351 run-out at $110,000 above it, and the BA XR8 at $18,000 below.

The first FPV GT

The 2003 BA relaunched the GT badge under Ford Performance Vehicles with the quad-cam 5.4-litre Boss 290, and it is the affordable entry to the modern GT line - the same position the BA XR8 holds one step down.

What the GT-F taught this library

Applies here in miniature: the run-out and the numbered editions carry the collector money, and the ordinary early cars ride behind them. A BA GT's case rests on being the first of the line rather than the fastest of it.

Condition reality

Many led hard lives, the Boss engines respond badly to neglected oil changes, and the survivor pool splits sharply between cherished garage cars and worn daily drivers.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that FPV GT Boss 290 is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$42,000
Half of sales are further out than$4,695
The report$249
19×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a FPV GT Boss 290, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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GT for sale?Priced by a person, $249