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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio
Valuation · Alfa Romeo · 952 · 2017-23

Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio

2.9L twin-turbo V6 · 375 kW / 600 Nm · 8sp auto · RWD
AVOIDRated within the $30k to $100k band · 93 of 94 at this money
Research estimate
$95,000
Must gain each year to break even
+10.4%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
37/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$95,000
$40,687 lowhigh $105,570
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian result. Three international lots, and no standard car has sold
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a Giulia for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$95,000
At about 50,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $95,000 · modelled median at five years $81,239
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $59,909 to $94,037
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($40,687 to $105,570). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 37/100, ranking 93 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Ownership economics is the strongest input, scarcity the weakest.
Running it costs about $10,550 a year (11.1% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $14,602 a year.
The model's five year median is $81,239, a -14.5% move, with the tenth percentile at $40,687.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-24%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$14,602 a year all in, -14.5% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity requires a decade of attrition
Negotiate from$95,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
52/100-3
Scarcity25% of total
24/100-29
Demand durability20% of total
31/100-35
Liquidity15% of total
28/100-24
Risk resilience10% of total
52/100+16
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 37/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
52/100
Baseline80 pts
− 11.1% of value a year to run-28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)52 pts
Scarcity25% weight
24/100
Baseline10 pts
+ 1,150 Australian cars+14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)24 pts
Demand durability20% weight
31/100
Baseline25 pts
+ Press-darling status persists+16 pts
− Reliability reputation suppresses bids-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)31 pts
Liquidity15% weight
28/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 88 days on market+18 pts
+ 140 sales a year+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)28 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
52/100
Baseline90 pts
− Electronics and actuator failures-24 pts
− 17% volatility-14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)52 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 8,333 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$10,550a year
Share of value per year
11.1%
Scheduled servicing$2,90027%
Tyres, annualised$1,40013%
Registration and CTP$7507%
Insurance$2,10020%
Sinking fund (failure table)$3,40032%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$98,800
Running costs × 5 years$52,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$78,539
All-in annualised over 5 years$14,602/yr
Share of value per year15.4%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.4%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-3.1%a year
The projection falls 13.5 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$95,000
Stamp duty$3,800
Running costs x 5 years$52,750
Selling cost at exit, 2.8% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$155,983
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.9L twin-turbo V6
Power / torque375 kW / 600 Nm
0-100 km/h3.9 s
Transmission8sp auto
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,585 kg
Built worldwide25,000
Delivered to Australia1,400
Effective AU survivors1,150
Australian sales / year140
Typical days on market88 days
Launch price$145,900

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Verde Montreal+6%
Rosso Competizione+4%
Vulcano Black0%
Options
Carbon pack (roof, spoiler, mirrors)+3%
Sparco carbon bucket seats+3%
Akrapovic titanium exhaust (factory option)+2%
Odometer sensitivity±1.5% per 10,000 km vs 50,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$81,239
-14.5% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $95,000.
Even odds it lands between $59,909 and $94,037.
$40,687 lowhigh $105,570
The shaded range is even money and 57% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 89% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$13,761 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $52,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $6,500.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $73,010, or $14,602 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The best-reviewed sports sedan of its generation with real scarcity numbers already. A future classic case exists at the bottom of its curve.

The case against

It has not found the bottom. Depreciation plus Alfa running risk makes it the most expensive car per year in the mid tier. No standard Giulia Quadrifoglio has sold at auction anywhere in the international record - three lots exist and the only sale was a special edition - so there is no measured evidence for this value in any market.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Actuator and electronics failures
Risk 2Thin specialist network
Risk 3Steep remaining depreciation
Active aero actuator$2,600
Turbo replacement (pair)$7,800

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$95,000
Historical price
2019 · $125,0002026 · $95,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian result

The Giulia Quadrifoglio has no Australian auction record. About 1,400 came here and roughly 1,150 are thought to survive, so the local parc is substantial - the cars simply are not reaching salerooms. INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT, and there is almost none: THREE lots in the entire record, and the only one that sold was a special edition. An Alfa Romeo Racing Edition made EUR120,750 at RM Sotheby’s in Paris in January 2024. A Nurburgring edition failed at a GBP70,000-GBP80,000 estimate in 2019, and a standard 2017 car failed online in 2023. So NO STANDARD Giulia Quadrifoglio has sold at auction anywhere in this record. No clearance rate, direction or dispersion is claimed from three lots, and the one price available is for a car this entry does not describe. The absence is the finding. Twenty-five thousand were built and 1,400 came to Australia; a car that common not appearing at auction means it is still trading as a used performance saloon through dealers and private sale, not as a collectible. That is consistent with the falling curve carried here, and it means the value rests on research with nothing measured behind it.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Alfa Romeo Giulia against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.