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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Porsche 911 GT3 RS
Valuation · Porsche · 992.1 · 2023-25

Porsche 911 GT3 RS

4.0L NA flat six · 386 kW / 465 Nm · 7sp PDK · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 46 of 104 at this money
Model value
$645,000
Must gain each year to break even
+3.3%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
62/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$645,000
$562,036 lowhigh $933,313
Calibrated to recorded sales
Four Australian sales, May 2024 to February 2026, all at delivery mileage

Looking at a 911 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$645,000
At about 35,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $645,000 · modelled median at five years $717,972
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $635,950 to $831,241
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($562,036 to $933,313). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 62/100, ranking 46 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $16,300 a year (2.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $8,166 a year.
The model's five year median is $717,972, a +11.3% move, with the tenth percentile at $562,036.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured4 recorded sales
Off its peak
-4%
Value band
wide
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$8,166 a year all in, +11.3% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$645,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
5 rows on record
$825k$709k$593k
20252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $645kwhat the model expects across 3k–5k kmsoldasking
Every row, with its price and note (5) ↓
Library value against the sold record
4 sales · median $703,750
Value $645,000
$680,000$724,500
The library value sits below the lowest recorded sale; the evidence note above explains why.
2026ASK$695,000Asking
ASKING. Australian dealer, 2023 car, 2,807km. A listing, not a transaction
Feb 2026Collecting Cars$680,000Sold
SOLD. 25 Feb 2026, Kyle Bay NSW, 4,528km, Weissach Pack, Guards Red, 2024 build, serviced Feb 2025 at 2,618km by Porsche Centre Sydney South. The most recent of the four and the lowest
May 2025Collecting Cars$707,000Sold
SOLD. 1 May 2025, Point Piper NSW, 52km, Weissach Pack, Arctic Grey
Jan 2025Collecting Cars$724,500Sold
SOLD. 7 Jan 2025, Burleigh Heads QLD, 2,550km, Weissach Pack and Paint to Sample Dolphin Grey, original owner. The highest of the four and the only PTS car
May 2024Collecting Cars$700,500Sold
SOLD. 29 May 2024, Coffs Harbour NSW, 35km from new, Australian-market, first registered Feb 2024, first and only owner. The listing does not state the Weissach Pack, and this car still normalises above two of the three that do
4 completed Australian sales of 5 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
72/100+3
Scarcity25% of total
62/100-3
Demand durability20% of total
90/100+12
Liquidity15% of total
26/100-6
Risk resilience10% of total
34/100even
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 62/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
72/100
Baseline78 pts
− 2.5% of value a year to run-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Scarcity25% weight
62/100
Baseline60 pts
− Production never disclosed by Porsche, so scarcity cannot be verified-6 pts
+ An estimated 180 Australian deliveries, inferred not sourced+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)62 pts
Demand durability20% weight
90/100
Baseline74 pts
+ The most extreme naturally aspirated 911 Porsche has built, and probably the last of its kind+24 pts
− Buyers who wanted one at list have largely been served-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)90 pts
Liquidity15% weight
26/100
Baseline24 pts
− Four results in 21 months, all at delivery mileage, so no distance discovery at all-6 pts
+ 55 days on market+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)26 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
34/100
Baseline44 pts
− Sits 29% above list, now on transaction evidence, and falling about 1.7% a year-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)34 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 12,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$16,300a year
Share of value per year
2.5%
Scheduled servicing$3,40021%
Tyres, annualised$2,60016%
Registration and CTP$9006%
Insurance$5,80036%
Sinking fund (failure table)$3,60022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$670,800
Running costs × 5 years$81,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$711,472
All-in annualised over 5 years$8,166/yr
Share of value per year1.3%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
3.3%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.2%a year
The projection falls 1.2 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$645,000
Stamp duty$25,800
Running costs x 5 years$81,500
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$759,958
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine4.0L NA flat six
Power / torque386 kW / 465 Nm
0-100 km/h3.2 s
Transmission7sp PDK
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,450 kg
Built worldwide4,000
Delivered to Australia180
Effective AU survivors178
Australian sales / year12
Typical days on market55 days
Launch price$500,200

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Racing Yellow+6%
Shark Blue+5%
GT Silver Metallic+1%
Options
Weissach package (cut from 14: the four Australian results do not separate it)+6%
Magnesium wheels+8%
Front axle lift+3%
Odometer sensitivity±1.9% per 10,000 km vs 35,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$717,972
+11.3% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $645,000.
Even odds it lands between $635,950 and $831,241.
$562,036 lowhigh $933,313
The shaded range is even money and 31% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 63% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$72,972 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $81,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $32,300.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $40,830, or $8,166 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Probably the last naturally aspirated GT3 RS, with active aerodynamics and a downforce figure no road 911 has matched. An estimated 180 reached Australia. If the naturally aspirated formula ends here, the case writes itself.

The case against

Four Australian results now exist and they are all delivery-mileage cars, so nothing here measures what distance does to the price. Production has never been disclosed and the Australian delivery count is inferred. The four sales trend down about 1.7 per cent a year. The car it replaced, the 991.1 GT3 RS, has seen its recent international results fall to between $252,000 and $359,000 while this library still carries that model at $420,000. A newer car sitting 30 per cent above list on asks alone is the least evidenced position in this comparison.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Every result so far is a delivery-mileage car, so distance is unpriced
Risk 2Production figure never disclosed by Porsche
Risk 3The preceding 991.1 GT3 RS is measurably softening
Annual service$3,400
Centre-lock wheel and tyre set$9,500
PCCB disc replacement$32,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 4 recorded sales
Carried value
$645,000
Historical price
2023 · $500,2002026 · $645,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Four Australian auction results, and the asks-minus-a-margin estimate they replace was 0.7 per cent out

This record previously opened with the words NO AUCTION RESULT IN ANY MARKET and set $650,000 by taking dealer asks of $695,000 to $699,900 and deliberately sitting under them. The four sales below, normalised to the 35,000 kilometres this record expects, fit to $645,176 in August 2026. That is not a forecast that came true - the sales already existed and were simply not in the data - but a method that reached the right number from the wrong evidence is worth recording either way.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (7 more)
The value is $645,000
The four sales

$700,500 at Coffs Harbour NSW on 29 May 2024, 35 kilometres, Australian-market, first owner from new. $724,500 at Burleigh Heads QLD on 7 January 2025, 2,550 kilometres, Weissach Pack and Paint to Sample Dolphin Grey, one owner. $707,000 at Point Piper NSW on 1 May 2025, 52 kilometres, Weissach Pack in Arctic Grey. $680,000 at Kyle Bay NSW on 25 February 2026, 4,528 kilometres, Weissach Pack in Guards Red.

Every one of them is effectively a delivery-mileage car - 35

To 4,528 kilometres - so this sample cannot measure distance at all, and the 1.9 per cent per 10,000 carried below is inherited, not fitted. Normalised, the four run $656,862, $682,425, $662,977 and $642,784, a trend of minus 1.7 per cent a year on an R-squared of 0.25. Read the direction, not the slope.

The Weissach premium is not visible in these results and it has been cut from 14 per cent to 6

Three of the four cars have the Weissach Pack and the fourth does not state it. All four land within 6 per cent of each other, and the non-Weissach car normalises ABOVE two of the three Weissach ones. If Weissach were worth 14 per cent, that ordering could not happen. Four cars is a thin test and the May 2024 car may carry the pack without the listing saying so, which is why the premium is reduced rather than removed.

What is established

The launch price was $500,200 before on-road costs when Australian deliveries began in the second quarter of 2023. At $645,000 the car sits about 29 per cent over list three years on, and unlike the previous version of this entry, that is now measured rather than asserted.

Production is still not disclosed

Porsche has never published a build figure for the 992.1 GT3 RS. The number carried here is a widely repeated estimate and the Australian delivery count is inferred. Both remain soft.

Compare with the 991.1 GT3 RS,

Whose recent international results have fallen to between $252,000 and $359,000 against a library value of $420,000. The older RS is measurably softening and the newer one is now measurably softening too, at about 1.7 per cent a year.

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This model, today$645,000
Half of sales are further out than$72,105
The report$249
290×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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