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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Toyota LandCruiser 79 Series V8
Valuation · Toyota · 70 Series · 2007-24

Toyota LandCruiser 79 Series V8

4.5L turbo-diesel V8 (1VD-FTV) · 151 kW / 430 Nm · 5sp manual · 4WD
AVOIDRated within the over $100k band · 83 of 104 at this money
Model value
$110,000
Must gain each year to break even
+7.6%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
56/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$110,000
$72,704 lowhigh $121,678
Calibrated to a thin record
No settled Australian sale at any price. What exists is one published set of asking prices, reported by CarExpert in July 2024 in the window after Toyota closed V8 orders, and an ask is not a sale.
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a LandCruiser for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$110,000
At about 72,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $110,000 · modelled median at five years $99,272
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $85,297 to $111,058
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($72,704 to $121,678). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 56/100, ranking 83 of 104 in the over $100k band. Liquidity is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $7,960 a year (7.2% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $11,558 a year.
The model's five year median is $99,272, a -9.8% move, with the tenth percentile at $72,704.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
-30%
Value band
moderate
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$11,558 a year all in, -9.8% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$110,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
2 rows on record
$147k$126k$105k
20252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $110ksoldasking
Every row, with its price and note (2) ↓
Oct 2026Collecting Cars$142,500Sold
SOLD. 2 Oct 2026, Lane Cove NSW, about 3,700km. 2025 VDJ79R GXL, Sandy Taupe over grey, Australian-delivered, five-speed manual, VIN JTEBVL3J40B025130. Engineered GVM upgrade and an invoiced Superior Engineering coil conversion with a 5-inch lift on 37-inch tyres, 185-litre long-range tank, power-fold mirrors and power boards. Logbook, manuals and three keys. A finance security interest was registered on the PPSR at listing. The first Australian hammer for a V8 79 in this library
Jul 2024CarExpert$120,000Asking
ASKING. 29 Jul 2024, national classifieds as reported by CarExpert. Ultra-low-mileage V8 79s advertised at $110,000 to $130,000+ against $87,600 retail, a 40-50% markup, in the window after orders closed. Toyota Australia's Sean Hanley publicly warned buyers not to pay over retail. These are advertised asking prices in a panic window, not settled transaction values.
1 completed Australian sale of 2 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Published calls on this car

1 call on this model has been published and settled, and graded against what the car actually made.

Wrong2026-09-29
Sold $142,500 at Lane Cove, New South Wales, above its band. The call was 21.4 per cent low, beyond the ten per cent a line ball allows.
Called
$112,000
made $142,500 (+21.4%)

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
66/100-3
Scarcity25% of total
31/100-34
Demand durability20% of total
72/100-6
Liquidity15% of total
91/100+59
Risk resilience10% of total
8/100-26
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 56/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
66/100
Baseline84 pts
− 7.2% of value a year to run-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Scarcity25% weight
31/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 40,000 survivors estimated in Australia+11 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)31 pts
Demand durability20% weight
72/100
Baseline58 pts
+ The V8 is finished and the four-cylinder replacement has not been embraced+16 pts
+ Used money above original retail, with a documented reason behind it+10 pts
− Forty thousand survivors is a working population, not a collector one-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Liquidity15% weight
91/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 30 days on market+48 pts
+ 3,000 sales a year+31 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)91 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
8/100
Baseline48 pts
− Ex-mining-fleet trucks are presented as private one-owner vehicles-14 pts
− Injector failure and injector-seat erosion is a $9,000 job-8 pts
− Chassis cracking at the rear spring hangers on loaded trays-6 pts
− Asking prices only, and an ask is not a sale-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)8 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,857 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$7,960a year
Share of value per year
7.2%
Scheduled servicing$1,79022%
Tyres, annualised$1,22015%
Registration and CTP$96012%
Insurance$2,27029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,72022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$114,400
Running costs × 5 years$39,800
Median exit, net of selling cost$96,412
All-in annualised over 5 years$11,558/yr
Share of value per year10.5%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
7.6%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-2.0%a year
The projection falls 9.6 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$110,000
Stamp duty$4,400
Running costs x 5 years$39,800
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$158,316
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine4.5L turbo-diesel V8 (1VD-FTV)
Power / torque151 kW / 430 Nm
0-100 km/h12.5 s
Transmission5sp manual
Drive4WD
Kerb weight2,275 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors40,000
Australian sales / year3,000
Typical days on market30 days
Launch priceNot established

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Original paint, never resprayed or wrapped+5%
A factory colour rather than a fleet white repaint+3%
Resprayed to cover fleet livery-8%
Options
Private ownership with service history rather than an ex-fleet truck+25%
A late GXL from the final V8 production run+15%
Uncracked chassis at the rear spring hangers, tray unmodified+12%
Odometer sensitivity±1.4% per 10,000 km vs 72,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$99,272
-9.8% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $110,000.
Even odds it lands between $85,297 and $111,058.
$72,704 lowhigh $121,678
The shaded range is even money and 30% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 83% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$10,728 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $39,800.
Duty and expected selling costs: $7,260.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $57,790, or $11,558 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

Toyota halted V8 orders on 8 July 2024, ended V8 production that September under Euro 6 and concluded GXL ute deliveries in the last quarter of 2025, so supply is now fixed and countable. Ultra-low-mileage examples were advertised at $110,000 to $130,000 and more against $87,600 retail in the weeks after orders closed.

The case against

Those figures are advertised asking prices from a panic window, not settled transactions, and Toyota's own sales chief publicly told buyers not to pay over retail. Forty thousand of these are on the road, most of them have worked for a living, and the gap between an ex-mine truck and a low-distance private car is the widest spread in this tranche.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Every local figure here is an asking price; not one settled sale is published
Risk 2Ex-mining-fleet vehicles presented as private one-owner cars
Risk 31VD-FTV injector failure and injector-seat erosion at $9,000 a set
1VD-FTV injector failure and injector-seat erosion, full set plus seat repair$9,000
Chassis cracking around the rear spring hangers on heavily loaded trays and long-term tourers$8,000
Cracked exhaust manifolds$3,500
Front axle wheel bearings and swivel-hub seals on load-carrying and towing vehicles$3,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$110,000
Historical price
2016 · $115,5002026 · $110,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
October 2026, the first Australian hammer for a V8 79 in this library

A 2025 VDJ79R GXL, about 3,700 kilometres, with an engineered GVM upgrade and an invoiced coil conversion on 37-inch tyres, made $142,500 at Lane Cove on 2 October 2026. The published call was $112,000, 21.4 per cent low and above its band: it removed the record's private-ownership and late-GXL premiums as double counts and credited the build at plus 5, and the room paid about 30 per cent over the carried value for a near-new truck with the work already done. The value carried here is unchanged until a standard truck sells; the sale is counted.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (5 more)
The mechanism is fact and the level is not

Toyota halted V8 orders on 8 July 2024, ended V8 production in September 2024 under Euro 6 emissions law, and concluded GXL ute deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2025. The GXL double-cab-chassis V8 retailed at $87,600 before on-road costs as at July 2024. Those dates and that price are published. What a V8 79 actually settles at in 2026 is not.

The only local figures are asks, and they came out of a panic window

In the weeks after orders closed, national classifieds carried ultra-low-mileage examples at $110,000 to $130,000 and above against that $87,600 retail, a markup of 40 to 50 per cent, and Toyota Australia's Sean Hanley publicly warned buyers not to pay over retail. This record carries that row as an ask and grades itself down for it rather than dressing an advertisement as a transaction. In a scalping window the gap between what a seller wants and what a buyer pays is at its widest, which is exactly when an asking price is least usable.

The ex-mine truck is the trap and it is where the band comes from

The spread between a mining-fleet 79 and a genuine low-distance private vehicle is the widest of anything in this tranche, and little on the outside separates them reliably. The $65,000 to $160,000 range on this page is less a condition ladder than two different vehicles sharing a badge.

No drive-side question, no launch price, and a delivery field that reads zero for a reason

This is factory right-hand drive and Australian-delivered, with Australia as the model's flagship market, so the conversion discount that sets the price of the American cars in this tranche does not apply. The launch field reads zero because the 2007 recommended price was not in the research. The delivery field reads zero because no Australian delivery figure was found, not because these were imported - tens of thousands were sold here.

What would change it

Four or five settled prices with distance and ownership history attached. Until then this is a documented supply shock carrying an estimated price.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Toyota LandCruiser 79 Series V8 is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$110,000
Half of sales are further out than$12,297
The report$249
49×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Toyota LandCruiser 79 Series V8, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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