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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Subaru WRX Premium
Valuation · Subaru · VA · 2014-21

Subaru WRX Premium

2.0L turbo flat four · 197 kW / 350 Nm · 6sp manual · AWD
AVOIDRated within the under $30k band · 38 of 46 at this money
Research estimate
$28,000
Must gain each year to break even
+13.7%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
38/100
Scored against the under $30k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$28,000
$15,888 lowhigh $29,488
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian sale. The four results this record used to show belonged to the VA STI entry, which holds the same lots in primary form; they have been removed and the grade is Researched.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a WRX for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$28,000
At about 110,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $28,000 · modelled median at five years $24,388
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $19,917 to $27,071
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($15,888 to $29,488). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 38/100, ranking 38 of 46 in the under $30k band. Liquidity is the strongest input, scarcity the weakest.
Running it costs about $4,480 a year (16.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $5,606 a year.
The model's five year median is $24,388, a -12.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $15,888.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-19%
Value band
moderate
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$5,606 a year all in, -12.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity requires a decade of attrition
Negotiate from$28,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
1 row on record
Every row, with its price and note (1) ↓
Jul 2026Collecting Cars$22,000Context, excluded
SOLD. 31 Jul 2026, Box Hill NSW, 54,433km. CVT automatic Special Edition, not the manual Premium this record describes. Context only
0 completed Australian sales of 1 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the under $30k band median
46 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
40/100+5
Scarcity25% of total
2/100-39
Demand durability20% of total
30/100-26
Liquidity15% of total
86/100+27
Risk resilience10% of total
62/100+25
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 38/100. Medians are computed live from the 46 cars currently in the under $30k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
40/100
Baseline80 pts
− 16.0% of value a year to run-40 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)40 pts
Scarcity25% weight
2/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 14,500 survivors+2 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)2 pts
Demand durability20% weight
30/100
Baseline20 pts
+ Rally heritage badge value+16 pts
− Young buyer insurance squeeze-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)30 pts
Liquidity15% weight
86/100
Baseline10 pts
+ 39 days on market+46 pts
+ 2,100 sales a year+30 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)86 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
62/100
Baseline90 pts
− Modification and abuse prevalence-18 pts
− FA20 ringland sensitivity-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)62 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 12,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$4,480a year
Share of value per year
16.0%
Scheduled servicing$84019%
Tyres, annualised$76017%
Registration and CTP$75017%
Insurance$1,35030%
Sinking fund (failure table)$78017%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$29,120
Running costs × 5 years$22,400
Median exit, net of selling cost$23,488
All-in annualised over 5 years$5,606/yr
Share of value per year20.0%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
13.7%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-2.7%a year
The projection falls 16.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$28,000
Stamp duty$1,120
Running costs x 5 years$22,400
Selling cost at exit, 3.2% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$53,231
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.0L turbo flat four
Power / torque197 kW / 350 Nm
0-100 km/h6 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,476 kg
Built worldwide300,000
Delivered to Australia21,000
Effective AU survivors14,500
Australian sales / year2,100
Typical days on market39 days
Launch price$40,990

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
WR Blue+5%
Crystal White+1%
Dark Grey-2%
Options
Premium trim+2%
STI short shift+1%
Hyper Blue special edition+3%
Odometer sensitivity±1.2% per 10,000 km vs 110,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$24,388
-12.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $28,000.
Even odds it lands between $19,917 and $27,071.
$15,888 lowhigh $29,488
The shaded range is even money and 36% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 86% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$3,612 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $22,400.
Duty and expected selling costs: $2,020.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $28,030, or $5,606 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The badge still sells and manual AWD turbo sedans are disappearing from price lists. Liquidity is excellent.

The case against

Still depreciating and 14,500 survivors. No scarcity argument this decade.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Tuned cars with hidden histories
Risk 2Insurance cost for under-30 buyers
Risk 3Ringland failure on modified engines
FA20 ringland failure (modified cars)$6,500
Clutch judder$1,400

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$28,000
Historical price
2019 · $33,0002026 · $28,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian sale stands under this record, and until today it looked as though four did

Four rows on this entry - $45,500 at Werribee in April 2024, $42,550 at Sans Souci in the same month, $36,000 at South Yarra in July 2022 and $54,000 at Zetland in December 2025 - were the same lots, to the odometer and the dollar, as four rows on the VA STI record, which holds them in primary form with full dates and lot numbers.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
The money settles which record owns them

A 7,773-kilometre 2021 car at $45,500 is STI money against a WRX Premium value of $28,000, and one of the duplicated notes ends with the words NOT the Australian-delivered STI this record describes, which is the STI record's sentence sitting in this one. They have been removed from here.

What is left is one row and it is not this car either

A CVT automatic Special Edition at $22,000 in July 2026, excluded because this record prices the manual Premium. So the grade falls from Thin to Researched, which is what it should have been all along.

The value is unchanged

At $28,000, because it was never set by those rows - it was set against the model either side of it in this library, and the removal of borrowed evidence does not move a figure that never rested on it.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Subaru WRX against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Subaru WRX Premium, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.