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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ford Capri RS3100 Group 2 homologation
Valuation · Ford · Mk1 · 1973-74

Ford Capri RS3100 Group 2 homologation

3.1L V6 (Essex) · 109 kW / 187 Nm · 4sp manual · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 56 of 104 at this money
Model value
$150,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.9%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
60/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$150,000
$110,491 lowhigh $275,596
Calibrated to a thin record
One official result: $133,001 at Shannons, Nov 2020, lot 173, restored
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a Capri RS3100 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$150,000
At about 30,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $150,000 · modelled median at five years $182,312
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $144,534 to $231,379
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($110,491 to $275,596). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 60/100, ranking 56 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $6,550 a year (4.4% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $1,588 a year.
The model's five year median is $182,312, a +21.5% move, with the tenth percentile at $110,491.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$1,588 a year all in, +21.5% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$150,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
1 row on record
Every row, with its price and note (1) ↓
Nov 2020Shannons$133,001Sold
Restored car at the Spring timed auction, lot 173, official results sheet - the only Australian transaction on record
1 completed Australian sale of 1 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
51/100-18
Scarcity25% of total
76/100+11
Demand durability20% of total
70/100-8
Liquidity15% of total
36/100+4
Risk resilience10% of total
64/100+30
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 60/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
51/100
Baseline56 pts
− 4.4% of value a year to run-5 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)51 pts
Scarcity25% weight
76/100
Baseline44 pts
+ 248 built, roughly 50 delivered here new+32 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Demand durability20% weight
70/100
Baseline40 pts
+ Homologation Ford demand proven across this library+22 pts
+ A knowing local register of a small car pool+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)70 pts
Liquidity15% weight
36/100
Baseline10 pts
+ 80 days on market+22 pts
+ Years can pass between public sales+4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)36 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
64/100
Baseline84 pts
− Replica spoilers and upgraded standard Capris-12 pts
− One dated sale carrying the whole record-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)64 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$6,550a year
Share of value per year
4.4%
Scheduled servicing$1,90029%
Tyres, annualised$80012%
Registration and CTP$75011%
Insurance$1,50023%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,60024%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$156,000
Running costs × 5 years$32,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$180,812
All-in annualised over 5 years$1,588/yr
Share of value per year1.1%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.9%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+4.0%a year
The projection falls 0.9 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$150,000
Stamp duty$6,000
Running costs x 5 years$32,750
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$190,657
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.1L V6 (Essex)
Power / torque109 kW / 187 Nm
0-100 km/h7.8 s
Transmission4sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,050 kg
Built worldwide248
Delivered to Australia50
Effective AU survivors30
Australian sales / year1
Typical days on market80 days
Launch price$5,750

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Modena Green+4%
Daytona Yellow+4%
Diamond White+2%
Options
One of the roughly 50 Australian-delivered cars+12%
Original ducktail and chin spoilers+6%
Matching-numbers 3.1 Essex+8%
Odometer sensitivity±1.5% per 10,000 km vs 30,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$182,312
+21.5% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $150,000.
Even odds it lands between $144,534 and $231,379.
$110,491 lowhigh $275,596
The shaded range is even money and 60% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 88% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$32,312 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $32,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $7,500.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $7,940, or $1,588 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Rarer than an XU-1 and cheaper than the Escorts it shared a homologation programme with, with a genuine Australian-delivered pool that most British specials never had.

The case against

One six-year-old sale is the entire transaction record, so the value is closer to researched than its grade suggests; and standard Capris wearing RS3100 clothes outnumber real cars at asking-price level.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Replica and clone authentication
Risk 2A single dated sale as the whole record
Risk 3Essex parts scarcity in RS specification
Essex V6 rebuild$11,000
Spoiler and panel originality$9,000
Structural rust$12,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$150,000
Historical price
2016 · $85,0002026 · $150,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
One sale on the official sheet

A restored car made $133,001 at the November 2020 Spring timed auction, lot 173 - a single result, six years old, and the whole Australian transaction record for the model. The value above it is that result plus the appreciation every comparable homologation Ford has shown since, and it should be read with exactly that much confidence and no more.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (2 more)
The Australian accident

The RS3100 was built in a hurry - 248 cars with the ducktail and the bored-out Essex to homologate the Cologne Capri's 3.4 - and when the fuel crisis killed UK sales, around 50 unsold cars were shipped new to Australia, which is why a British homologation special has a genuine Australian-delivered population and a local collector base that knows chassis numbers by heart.

What moves a car

Original spoilers and panels, since the ducktail and chin spoiler that define the car are also the first things a road accident removed.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Ford Capri RS3100 Group 2 homologation is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$150,000
Half of sales are further out than$16,769
The report$249
67×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ford Capri RS3100 Group 2 homologation, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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Capri RS3100 for sale?Priced by a person, $249