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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 456 GT Six-speed manual
Valuation · Ferrari · 456 · 1994-97

Ferrari 456 GT Six-speed manual

5.5L V12 · 325 kW / 550 Nm · 6sp gated manual · RWD
AVOIDRated within the over $100k band · 100 of 104 at this money
Model value
$135,000
Must gain each year to break even
+10.1%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
50/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$135,000
$89,625 lowhigh $192,953
Calibrated to a thin record
Two Shannons results: $200,000 (Nov 2022, RHD manual, 1 of 31) and $120,000 (2024, gearbox unstated)

Looking at a 456 GT for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$135,000
At about 40,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $135,000 · modelled median at five years $134,056
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $110,685 to $165,036
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($89,625 to $192,953). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 50/100, ranking 100 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, ownership economics the weakest.
Running it costs about $15,100 a year (11.2% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $16,729 a year.
The model's five year median is $134,056, a -0.7% move, with the tenth percentile at $89,625.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin3 recorded sales
Off its peak
-33%
Value band
wide
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$16,729 a year all in, -0.7% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$135,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
3 rows on record
$213k$153k$92k
2023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $135ksold
Every row, with its price and note (3) ↓
Library value against the sold record
3 sales · median $120,000
Value $135,000
$105,000$200,000
Mar 2026Collecting Cars$105,000Sold
SOLD. 4 Mar 2026, Church Point NSW, 81,133 miles (130,570km), SIX-SPEED MANUAL, UK-market and complied here Mar 2022. Blu Le Mans Metallic over Crema. Timing belt, adjuster pulley, brake fluid and oil Nov 2025 at 81,132 miles; new clutch assembly and machined flywheel Oct 2022. THE SPEEDOMETER MAY BE FAULTY and a replacement accompanies the car. The odometer cap binds hard: raw adjustment minus 16.3 per cent, applied at minus 12
2024Shannons$120,000Sold
456 at the Autumn timed auction - the results wrap does not state the gearbox, and a GTA automatic trades far below the manual this entry prices
Nov 2022Shannons$200,000Sold
Australian-delivered RHD six-speed manual, one of 31, at the Spring timed auction
3 completed Australian sales of 3 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Published calls on this car

1 call on this model has been published and settled, and none sold, so there is nothing to grade.

Unsold2026-08-23
Ended on Collecting Cars with no result published. No hammer means nothing to grade against, so it scores neither way.
Called
$120,000

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
20/100-49
Scarcity25% of total
66/100+1
Demand durability20% of total
82/100+4
Liquidity15% of total
38/100+6
Risk resilience10% of total
54/100+20
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 50/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
20/100
Baseline34 pts
− 11.2% of value a year to run-14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)20 pts
Scarcity25% weight
66/100
Baseline38 pts
+ 31 RHD manuals delivered new+28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Demand durability20% weight
82/100
Baseline46 pts
+ Gated-manual V12 Ferrari at the cheapest entry that exists+26 pts
+ The 550's re-rating pulling the 456 behind it+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)82 pts
Liquidity15% weight
38/100
Baseline10 pts
+ 85 days on market+22 pts
+ A specialist car that waits for its buyer+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)38 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
54/100
Baseline78 pts
− Valve guides and deferred maintenance-16 pts
− Gearbox ambiguity in advertised cars-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)54 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$15,100a year
Share of value per year
11.2%
Scheduled servicing$4,20028%
Tyres, annualised$1,4009%
Registration and CTP$8005%
Insurance$3,20021%
Sinking fund (failure table)$5,50036%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$140,400
Running costs × 5 years$75,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$132,256
All-in annualised over 5 years$16,729/yr
Share of value per year12.4%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.1%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-0.1%a year
The projection falls 10.3 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$135,000
Stamp duty$5,400
Running costs x 5 years$75,500
Selling cost at exit, 1.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$218,818
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine5.5L V12
Power / torque325 kW / 550 Nm
0-100 km/h5.2 s
Transmission6sp gated manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,690 kg
Built worldwide1,548
Delivered to Australia31
Effective AU survivors25
Australian sales / year2
Typical days on market85 days
Launch price$420,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Blu Swaters+4%
Rosso Corsa+2%
Argento Nurburgring0%
Options
Gated six-speed manual (the GT, not the GTA)+25%
Cambelt and clutch done within two years+8%
Books, tools and service file complete+5%
Odometer sensitivity±1.8% per 10,000 km vs 40,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$134,056
-0.7% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $135,000.
Even odds it lands between $110,685 and $165,036.
$89,625 lowhigh $192,953
The shaded range is even money and 49% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 64% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$944 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $75,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $7,200.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $83,645, or $16,729 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The cheapest gated V12 Ferrari, one of 31 delivered here in manual form, with the 550 Maranello demonstrating exactly how this profile re-rates once the market notices.

The case against

Running costs are Ferrari V12 costs on a car worth a fifth of a Daytona, deferred maintenance can exceed the price gap between examples, and the automatic lurking in unstated listings poisons casual comparison.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Deferred maintenance exceeding value gaps
Risk 2GTA automatics priced as manuals
Risk 3Valve guide wear
Cambelt service$9,000
Valve guide rebuild$25,000
Self-levelling suspension$7,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 3 recorded sales
Carried value
$135,000
Historical price
2016 · $110,0002026 · $135,000
Thin
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
A third Australian result, and the odometer cap decides it

$105,000 at Church Point NSW on 4 March 2026: a 1994 456 GT with the six-speed MANUAL, 81,133 miles - 130,570 kilometres - UK-market and complied here in March 2022, Blu Le Mans over Crema, with a timing belt, adjuster pulley and brake fluid done in November 2025 at 81,132 miles and a new clutch and machined flywheel in October 2022.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (8 more)
The speedometer May be faulty

And a replacement is supplied with the car.

The cap is the story

At 130,570 kilometres against the 40,000 this record expects, the raw odometer term is MINUS 16.3 PER CENT and the appraiser refuses to move any reading past twelve, so it lands at minus 12. Uncapped, the sale normalises to about $125,500; capped, to $119,300.

The cap is worth $6,200 on this car and it is the third record in this library where it binds

- after the S2000 call and the R34 GT-R. It is a standing decision, stated here rather than hidden.

The three results in order

$200,000 in November 2022 for an AUSTRALIAN-DELIVERED manual, one of 31; $120,000 in 2024 for a car whose gearbox the results wrap did not state; $105,000 in March 2026 for this high-distance UK import.

The value moves $185,000 to $135,000

- above the two ordinary results and well below the local-delivery manual, which is where an ordinary car belongs.

Distance, provenance and date all push the same way in this sample,

So none of them can be separated from the others. Three cars is not a fit and nothing here should be read as one.

The cap has been removed and on this record the new curve is worse, which is worth saying plainly

At 130,570 kilometres the capped line returned $118,800 and the curve returns $123,977, against a result of $105,000. The curve is gentler here, not steeper, because a coefficient of 1.8 per cent per 10,000 kilometres read against an expected distance of 40,000 converts to a very flat elasticity, and a flat elasticity extrapolated to three times the expected distance barely moves.

The problem is the coefficient, not the curve

This record carries two counted odometers, which is below what the distance guard can test, so 1.8 has never been measured against anything. The March 2026 car is the only high-distance 456 in the Australian record and it says the penalty should be steeper. One car is not a fit and the figure is not moved on it, but the next high-distance result settles this and the record is on notice.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

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The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$135,000
Half of sales are further out than$15,092
The report$249
61×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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