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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 488 Pista
Valuation · Ferrari · F142M · 2018-20

Ferrari 488 Pista

3.9L twin-turbo V8 · 530 kW / 770 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
BUYRated within the over $100k band · 19 of 104 at this money
Model value
$830,000
Must gain each year to break even
+3.2%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
69/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$830,000
$651,545 lowhigh $1,475,399
Calibrated to a thin record
One Australian result, $805,500 in March 2023, and two 2026 asks either side of the value. The 488 range clears only 44% internationally
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a 488 Pista for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$830,000
At about 20,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $830,000 · modelled median at five years $960,490
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $797,985 to $1,231,332
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($651,545 to $1,475,399). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 69/100, ranking 19 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $19,300 a year (2.3% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $1,642 a year.
The model's five year median is $960,490, a +15.7% move, with the tenth percentile at $651,545.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
-3%
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$1,642 a year all in, +15.7% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$830,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
3 rows on record
$868k$833k$798k
2023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $830ksoldasking2 rows sit off this scale. Open the list below to see them.
Every row, with its price and note (3) ↓
2026ASK$869,900Asking
ASKING. 2019, 1,215km, dealer QLD. A listing, not a transaction
2026ASK$980,000Asking
ASKING. 2019, 8,800km, private QLD. A listing, not a transaction
Mar 2023Collecting Cars$805,500Sold
SOLD. 29 Mar 2023, Hamilton QLD, 5,752km from new. Second owner, Argento Nurburgring with Nero and Giallo stripes, carbon racing seats, carbon wheels, titanium exhaust, suspension lifter, matte carbon throughout. Serviced annually by Ferrari Sydney, last at 2,750km in May 2022. THE FIRST ACTUAL TRANSACTION THIS RECORD HAS EVER HELD
1 completed Australian sale of 3 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
73/100+4
Scarcity25% of total
98/100+33
Demand durability20% of total
88/100+10
Liquidity15% of total
6/100-26
Risk resilience10% of total
36/100+2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 69/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
73/100
Baseline78 pts
− 2.3% of value a year to run-5 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)73 pts
Scarcity25% weight
98/100
Baseline78 pts
+ Roughly 3,500 built worldwide+10 pts
+ An estimated 55 delivered to Australia+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)98 pts
Demand durability20% weight
88/100
Baseline78 pts
+ The most focused version of the 488, with the Challenge-derived engine+18 pts
− Turbocharged, so it does not carry the naturally aspirated argument that supports the 458 Speciale-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)88 pts
Liquidity15% weight
6/100
Baseline20 pts
− The 488 range clears only 44% internationally, among the weakest measured here-10 pts
− No Australian auction record-4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)6 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
36/100
Baseline48 pts
− The base 488's international market is weak and the Pista has no separate record to distinguish it-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)36 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,857 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$19,300a year
Share of value per year
2.3%
Scheduled servicing$4,60024%
Tyres, annualised$2,80015%
Registration and CTP$9005%
Insurance$6,80035%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,20022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$863,200
Running costs × 5 years$96,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$951,490
All-in annualised over 5 years$1,642/yr
Share of value per year0.2%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
3.2%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+3.0%a year
The projection falls 0.2 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$830,000
Stamp duty$33,200
Running costs x 5 years$96,500
Selling cost at exit, 1.1% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$970,220
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.9L twin-turbo V8
Power / torque530 kW / 770 Nm
0-100 km/h2.85 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,385 kg
Built worldwide3,500
Delivered to Australia55
Effective AU survivors54
Australian sales / year3
Typical days on market100 days
Launch price$645,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Blu Corsa with stripe+8%
Rosso Corsa+4%
Giallo Modena+6%
Options
Carbon wheels+14%
Racing stripe as delivered+8%
Carbon racing seats+10%
Odometer sensitivity±2.2% per 10,000 km vs 20,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$960,490
+15.7% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $830,000.
Even odds it lands between $797,985 and $1,231,332.
$651,545 lowhigh $1,475,399
The shaded range is even money and 54% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 74% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$130,490 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $96,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $42,200.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $8,210, or $1,642 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The most focused 488, with the engine derived from the Challenge racing cars, 90kg lighter and 38kW stronger than the GTB. Focused Ferrari variants have historically held better than their series-production siblings: the 430 Scuderia clears 76 per cent internationally against the F430's 60.

The case against

The 488 GTB clears only 44 per cent internationally and just two standard coupes have sold anywhere in that record. Turbocharging costs this generation the naturally aspirated argument that carries the 458 Speciale, and the market has already priced that distinction. The single Australian result dates from March 2023 and there is no separate international record for the Pista itself.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1The base 488 market clears at only 44% internationally
Risk 2No separate auction record exists for the Pista
Risk 3Turbocharged, so it lacks the naturally aspirated scarcity argument
Annual service$4,600
Carbon-ceramic brake set$32,000
Turbocharger replacement$24,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$830,000
Historical price
2019 · $690,0002026 · $830,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
One Australian result for the Pista and it is three and a half years old
Read the rest of the evidence notes (7 more)
Why this is a separate entry

The Pista is 90kg lighter and 38kW stronger than the 488 GTB, with the racing-derived engine from the Challenge cars. Pricing it off the GTB would understate it badly.

The warning here is the GTB's record, not its price

The 488 GTB clears just 44 per cent internationally across sixteen lots, among the weakest measured in this library, and only TWO standard coupes have sold anywhere in that record, both at US$275,000 a year apart. The 812 GTS at 44 per cent and the Huracan at 46 sit in the same band. Modern turbocharged exotica clears badly, and the Pista sits inside that pattern rather than outside it. THE COUNTER-ARGUMENT is that the Pista is a limited focused car where the GTB is a series production one, and focused variants have held better across this library: the 430 Scuderia clears 76 per cent against the F430's 60. Whether that gap repeats for the Pista is not knowable from anything measured here.

The value is a researched estimate

Against an Australian launch price near $645,000, with an estimated 55 delivered locally.

Revalued August 2026, $800,000 to $830,000

The smallest revision in the Ferrari family, made in the same pass as the larger ones. The domestic asks on this record, $869,900 at a dealer and $980,000 private, already sat close to the carried figure, and recent American sales convert to roughly $800,000 to $860,000. Moved to the middle of that band.

This record now has a transaction instead of two asking prices

A second-owner car showing 5,752 kilometres made $805,500 at Hamilton in Queensland on 29 March 2023, on a full Ferrari Sydney service history. De-adjusted to the 20,000 kilometres this record expects, that implies $781,000 against a carried $830,000.

The value is left where it is and here is why

The sale is three and a half years old. The two live asking prices on the record - $869,900 for a 1,215-kilometre car and $980,000 for an 8,800-kilometre one - are 5 and 18 per cent above the carried figure. Asks are not sales and this library never treats them as such, but a single 2023 transaction and two 2026 asks bracket $830,000 rather than contradict it.

What would settle it

A second Australian sale. Until then this is one result, and the evidence grade says so.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

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This model, today$830,000
Half of sales are further out than$92,786
The report$249
373×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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488 Pista for sale?Priced by a person, $249