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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 488 Pista Spider
Valuation · Ferrari · F142M · 2019-20

Ferrari 488 Pista Spider

3.9L twin-turbo V8 · 530 kW / 770 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 29 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$1,280,000
Must gain each year to break even
+2.5%
The projection clears it. 14 of 244 in the library do.
CarQuant score
67/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Asks only
Advertisements only; an ask is not a transaction
$1,280,000
$971,023 lowhigh $2,590,088
Asking prices only, no recorded sale
No Australian auction record. 799 built, an estimated 15 here
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 488 Pista Spider for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$1,280,000
At about 15,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $1,280,000 · modelled median at five years $1,578,172
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $1,258,812 to $2,110,440
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($971,023 to $2,590,088). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 67/100, ranking 29 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $20,700 a year (1.6% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is -$26,134 a year.
The model's five year median is $1,578,172, a +23.3% move, with the tenth percentile at $971,023.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Asks only0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)-$26,134 a year all in, +23.3% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$1,280,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
2 rows on record
$1.5m$1.4m$1.2m
20262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $1.3masking
Every row, with its price and note (2) ↓
2026ASK$1,488,888Asking
ASKING. 2020, 720km, dealer NSW. A listing, not a transaction
2026ASK$1,459,999Asking
ASKING. 2019, 2,400km, dealer QLD. A listing, not a transaction
0 completed Australian sales of 2 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
75/100+6
Scarcity25% of total
100/100+35
Demand durability20% of total
82/100+4
Liquidity15% of total
0/100-32
Risk resilience10% of total
28/100-6
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 67/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
75/100
Baseline80 pts
− 1.6% of value a year to run-5 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)75 pts
Scarcity25% weight
100/100
Baseline90 pts
+ 799 built worldwide, a stated factory limit+16 pts
+ An estimated 15 delivered to Australia+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Demand durability20% weight
82/100
Baseline74 pts
+ The scarcest 488 and the only open-top Pista+18 pts
− Turbocharged, and the 488 range clears worst of any Ferrari measured here-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)82 pts
Liquidity15% weight
0/100
Baseline8 pts
− One sale a year nationally and an estimated 130 days on market-12 pts
− The 488 range clears only 44% internationally-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
28/100
Baseline42 pts
− The scarcest supply and the weakest measured demand of any Ferrari in this library-14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)28 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$20,700a year
Share of value per year
1.6%
Scheduled servicing$4,80023%
Tyres, annualised$2,80014%
Registration and CTP$9004%
Insurance$7,80038%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,40021%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$1,331,200
Running costs × 5 years$103,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$1,565,372
All-in annualised over 5 years-$26,134/yr
Share of value per year-2.0%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
2.5%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+4.3%a year
The projection clears the hurdle by 1.8 points a year. On these assumptions the car covers its own costs and leaves a surplus.
Purchase$1,280,000
Stamp duty$51,200
Running costs x 5 years$103,500
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$1,449,192
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.9L twin-turbo V8
Power / torque530 kW / 770 Nm
0-100 km/h2.85 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,425 kg
Built worldwide799
Delivered to Australia15
Effective AU survivors15
Australian sales / year1
Typical days on market130 days
Launch price$725,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Blu Corsa with stripe+8%
Rosso Corsa+4%
Argento Nurburgring+2%
Options
Carbon wheels+14%
Racing stripe as delivered+8%
Delivery kilometres+15%
Odometer sensitivity±2.4% per 10,000 km vs 15,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$1,578,172
+23.3% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $1,280,000.
Even odds it lands between $1,258,812 and $2,110,440.
$971,023 lowhigh $2,590,088
The shaded range is even money and 68% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 90% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$298,172 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $103,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $64,000.
Net cost of five years of ownership: -$130,670, or -$26,134 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

799 built worldwide to a stated factory limit against roughly 3,500 Pista coupes, and the only open-top Pista. An estimated fifteen in Australia. Genuine scarcity on a documented figure rather than an estimate.

The case against

Scarcity without clearance is a difficult combination, and this car has both. The 488 range clears just 44 per cent internationally, the weakest of any Ferrari measured here, and fifteen cars nationally means one sale a year at best. No transaction evidence exists in any market, so the valuation rests entirely on research.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1No transaction evidence in any market
Risk 2The 488 range clears worst of any Ferrari measured here
Risk 3Fifteen cars nationally; the exit is private, not public
Annual service$4,800
Carbon-ceramic brake set$32,000
Retractable hardtop mechanism$15,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueAsks only · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$1,280,000
Historical price
2020 · $790,0002026 · $1,280,000
Asks only
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian auction record
Read the rest of the evidence notes (5 more)
What is established

799 were built worldwide, a stated factory limit, making it far scarcer than the roughly 3,500 Pista coupes. The Australian launch price was around $725,000 and an estimated 15 came here.

The same warning applies as to the coupe, and more so

The 488 range clears just 44 per cent internationally, among the weakest measured in this library, and a Spider inherits that market rather than escaping it. Fifteen cars nationally means one sale a year at best and an estimated 130 days on market.

Scarcity is real here in a way it is not on the coupe

799 against 3,500 is a genuine limit, and every open-top variant examined in this library trades as its own market. But scarcity without clearance is a difficult combination, and this car has both the scarcest supply and the weakest measured demand of any Ferrari in the library.

No transaction evidence exists

In any market for this model. The value is research alone.

Revalued August 2026, $950,000 to $1,280,000

The two domestic dealer asks already on this record, $1,488,888 and $1,459,999, sat more than fifty per cent above the carried figure. A value that far beneath every observable ask is a stale level, not caution. The revision places it a normal trade margin under those asks, consistent with the coupe at $830,000 and the 799-build limit. Research alone still, now stated at the level the market is actually asking against.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 488 Pista Spider against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 488 Pista Spider, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.