Skip to main content
Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
CarQuant page
Reference photograph of a Lancia Delta HF Integrale Evoluzione
Valuation · Lancia · Evo 1 and Evo 2 · 1991-94

Lancia Delta HF Integrale Evoluzione

2.0L turbo 16v inline four, transverse · 154 kW / 300 Nm · 5sp manual · AWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 71 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$155,000
Must gain each year to break even
+7.3%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
58/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$155,000
$107,596 lowhigh $266,731
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian sale of any kind. The car was never sold new here, every local example is a left-hand-drive private import, and the value is read off European trade plus landed cost.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a Delta for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$155,000
At about 45,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $155,000 · modelled median at five years $178,411
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $141,162 to $224,867
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($107,596 to $266,731). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 58/100, ranking 71 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $10,790 a year (7.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $8,154 a year.
The model's five year median is $178,411, a +15.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $107,596.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$8,154 a year all in, +15.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$155,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
67/100-2
Scarcity25% of total
64/100-1
Demand durability20% of total
78/100even
Liquidity15% of total
40/100+8
Risk resilience10% of total
0/100-34
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 58/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
67/100
Baseline84 pts
− 7.0% of value a year to run-17 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)67 pts
Scarcity25% weight
64/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 42 survivors estimated in Australia+44 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)64 pts
Demand durability20% weight
78/100
Baseline64 pts
+ The rally homologation car of its decade, and values roughly doubled globally between 2019 and 2023+18 pts
− Never sold here, and built in left-hand drive only-12 pts
+ An estimated forty-two cars in the country, every one chosen deliberately+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)78 pts
Liquidity15% weight
40/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 90 days on market+22 pts
+ 4 sales a year+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)40 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
0/100
Baseline44 pts
− Faking is among the worst of anything in this segment-20 pts
− A full shell restoration is $65,000 and these shells rust-14 pts
− The value is set in Europe and arrives here with import cost attached-8 pts
− No Australian transaction behind the value-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$10,790a year
Share of value per year
7.0%
Scheduled servicing$2,43023%
Tyres, annualised$1,65015%
Registration and CTP$1,30012%
Insurance$3,08029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$2,33022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$161,200
Running costs × 5 years$53,950
Median exit, net of selling cost$174,381
All-in annualised over 5 years$8,154/yr
Share of value per year5.3%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
7.3%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.9%a year
The projection falls 4.5 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$155,000
Stamp duty$6,200
Running costs x 5 years$53,950
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$220,893
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.0L turbo 16v inline four, transverse
Power / torque154 kW / 300 Nm
0-100 km/h5.7 s
Transmission5sp manual
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,300 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors42
Australian sales / year4
Typical days on market90 days
Launch priceNot established

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Original paint, unresprayed+6%
A factory colour confirmed against the build record+4%
Resprayed, or a colour change away from the build record-10%
Options
A documented Evo 2 with the 158kW engine rather than an Evo 1+25%
A named Evo 2 edition with its paperwork - Giallo, Blu Lagos, Dealers Collection+30%
Rust-free shell with underbody and strut-tower photographs+15%
Odometer sensitivity±1.9% per 10,000 km vs 45,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$178,411
+15.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $155,000.
Even odds it lands between $141,162 and $224,867.
$107,596 lowhigh $266,731
The shaded range is even money and 59% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 72% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$23,411 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $53,950.
Duty and expected selling costs: $10,230.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $40,770, or $8,154 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Values roughly doubled globally between 2019 and 2023 and have held since, which makes this the clearest riser in the European segment of this library. An estimated forty-two cars are here, each a deliberate private import, and the named Evo 2 editions run from $200,000 upward.

The case against

No Australian sale of any kind sits behind this figure, so the value is a European market read plus the cost of landing a car. Faking is among the worst on this list and a full shell restoration is $65,000, on a car where provenance is the single largest component of value.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Provenance is the value, and fakes built from lesser Deltas are endemic
Risk 2Left-hand drive only, so there is no right-hand-drive car to look for
Risk 3Cambelt every three years or 40,000km, and a failed belt is an engine
Full shell restoration - arches, sills, floors, boot floor, strut towers, chassis rails$65,000
Head gasket and warped heads from heat$10,000
Interior trim, Recaro bolsters and dash plastics - very hard to source$8,000
Viscous coupling or Torsen diff wear$5,500
Garrett T3 turbo rebuilt and fitted$5,250
Cambelt every 3 years or 40,000km - a belt failure is an engine$2,250

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$155,000
Historical price
2016 · $96,1002026 · $155,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
The value is research, and the reason is Structural

Lancia never sold this car in Australia and never built it in right-hand drive, so every Australian Evoluzione is a left-hand-drive private import, most arriving from Japan or the United Kingdom under the fifteen-year rule and the SEVS-era pathways. There is no local auction series to fit anything to - not a thin one, none. What can be said is the direction, and it is unusually clear: values roughly doubled globally between 2019 and 2023 and have held, which is the strongest move anywhere in this segment. Australian values track Europe plus the cost of getting a car here, and that is a currency and a freight bill rather than a property of the car.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (4 more)
Two cars trade under one name

The Evo 1 is 154kW and 300Nm. The Evo 2, from June 1993, is 158kW and 314Nm and sits clearly above it - roughly $140,000 to $200,000 driver-quality against $110,000 to $160,000 - and the named Evo 2 editions, Giallo, Blu Lagos and the Dealers Collection, run $200,000 to $300,000 and beyond. The figure on this page is the middle of the combined Evoluzione range, which puts it above a tired Evo 1 and well below a documented named car. A buyer needs to establish which of those is in front of them before the number applies at all.

Provenance is the largest single component of value

Faking on this model is among the worst of anything researched for this segment, and with no local price series to sanity-check against, an Australian buyer is relying entirely on documentation. Chassis records, build paperwork and an unbroken ownership trail are not extras on this car, they are the asset, and a car without them should be priced as an unknown rather than as a discount.

The costs are out of proportion to almost everything else in this tranche

A full shell restoration - arches, sills, floors, boot floor, strut towers, chassis rails - is $65,000. Head gasket and warped heads from heat is $10,000. Interior trim, Recaro bolsters and dash plastics are very hard to source at $8,000, and the cambelt is a three-year or 40,000km item where a failure is an engine.

Production volumes are not published here

Evoluzione build numbers could not be established and the research says explicitly not to publish a figure, so the built count on this record is zero rather than a guess.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Lancia Delta against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Lancia Delta HF Integrale Evoluzione, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.