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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Toyota Supra RZ
Valuation · Toyota · JZA80 · 1993-99

Toyota Supra RZ

3.0L twin-turbo six (2JZ-GTE) · 206 kW / 431 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
BUYRated within the $30k to $100k band · 24 of 94 at this money
Model value
$78,000
Must gain each year to break even
+10.8%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
57/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$78,000
$60,770 lowhigh $96,204
Calibrated to recorded sales
Nine Australian results from $35,750 to $100,000, four of them six-speed manuals and three four-speed automatics that trade about forty-eight per cent apart. Manuals and automatics are two markets sharing one name

Looking at a Supra for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$78,000
At about 110,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $78,000 · modelled median at five years $76,981
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $68,454 to $87,092
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($60,770 to $96,204). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 57/100, ranking 24 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $8,600 a year (11.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $10,148 a year.
The model's five year median is $76,981, a -1.3% move, with the tenth percentile at $60,770.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured9 recorded sales
Off its peak
-17%
Value band
moderate
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$10,148 a year all in, -1.3% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$78,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
9 rows on record
$109k$68k$27k
202220232024202520262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $78kwhat the model expects across 73k–262k kmsold
Every row, with its price and note (9) ↓
Library value against the sold record
9 sales · median $65,500
Value $78,000
$35,750$100,000
Sep 2026Collecting Cars$75,000Sold
SOLD. 10 Sep 2026, Clyde North VIC, 117,383km indicated and NOT warranted. 1999 RZ-S Series 2, Moonstone Pearl over black cloth, and the point of the lot: the V161 GETRAG SIX-SPEED MANUAL. Stock sequential twin turbos, 2/1 factory big brake setup, A03B limited-slip differential. Modified - Exedy HD carbon twin-plate clutch and lightened flywheel, MVP Max air intake, HKS piping, K&N filter, Apexi turbo timer, Defi oil temperature and boost gauges, Alpine double-DIN, Volk Racing GTC split-rims 9.5J front and 10.5J rear on mixed tyres, drag lip, antenna and rear wiper delete. Stock airbox and wiper assembly included. Service history, Supra Registry documentation, auction papers, Car VX history report, two keys. Seller notes air conditioning needs re-gassing, the clock is dead and there is a scuff on the driver’s door pillar. A SECURITY INTEREST IS LOGGED ON THE PPSR against this VIN; NEVDIS clear of written-off and stolen markers. THE FOURTH COUNTED MANUAL IN THIS RECORD AND THE CALL ON IT WAS A HIT AT 1.3 PER CENT.
Aug 2026Collecting Cars$45,200Sold
SOLD. 27 Aug 2026, Thomastown VIC, 262,022km indicated, RZ-S four-speed AUTOMATIC, Japan-delivered, complied 2004. HKS Drager exhaust, front-mount intercooler, TRD-style bonnet. Serviced per the seller with no documentary evidence. The highest-distance A80 result in this record and it still made $45,200
May 2026Collecting Cars$50,500Sold
SOLD. 26 May 2026, Thomastown VIC, 121,997km. 1996 RZ-S twin turbo, four-speed AUTOMATIC, Moonstone Grey, Series 2, Japan-delivered and complied December 1998, two previous Australian owners, sold unregistered. Rust bubble on the rear hatch, slip-control light illuminated. Platform-verified
Mar 2026Collecting Cars$90,500Sold
SOLD. 11 Mar 2026, Rouse Hill NSW, 73,499km. 1998 RZ, six-speed MANUAL, Quicksilver over factory Recaro confetti seats, complied September 2011. Garrett GTX3584RS single-turbo conversion, Haltech Elite 2500, reconditioned head, JRZ coilovers, dyno sheet at about 500rwkW, full respray. A managed sale. The strongest recent manual result and a heavily built car
Oct 2025Collecting Cars$35,750Sold
SOLD. 1 Oct 2025, Campbellfield VIC, 105,809km. 1993 RZ twin turbo, four-speed AUTOMATIC, Renaissance Red, complied November 1998. Resprayed for sun fading with two paint runs; fuel gauge inoperative, driver seat rail motor dead, one brake light out and the brakes described as soft. The weakest in the set, and the condition notes say why
Feb 2024Collecting Cars$65,500Sold
SOLD. 16 Feb 2024, Gold Coast QLD, 79,836km. 1997 RZ-S, six-speed MANUAL, Super White II. Fully forged rebuild under 1,000km old - CP pistons, Spool rods, ARP studs - single Garrett conversion, KW suspension, ORC twin-plate clutch, AGI bolt-in half cage with the rear seats out, genuine TRD gauges, cluster and boost controller
Jul 2023Collecting Cars$45,250Sold
SOLD. 26 Jul 2023, West Ryde NSW, 135,116km. 1993 RZ, six-speed MANUAL, black paint code 202 with the original RZ body kit, imported 2008 and twelve years with the third Australian owner. Motor unopened on its factory twin turbochargers - the most original manual in the set - with Tein coilovers, front-mount intercooler and an engineering certificate for the modifications
Aug 2021Collecting Cars$100,000Sold
SOLD. 31 Aug 2021, Maroochydore QLD, 130,304km. 1997 RZ twin turbo, six-speed V160 MANUAL, white paint code 040 over black. Japan-delivered, imported November 2017 and in one private Australian ownership since. Largely original - aftermarket exhaust and head unit only, no known body damage. The top of the Australian record
Jun 2021Donington Auctions$74,000Sold
1998 RZ from the Bryan Thomson museum collection. The only named Australian auction result for the model
9 completed Australian sales of 9 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Published calls on this car

3 calls on this model have been published and settled. 2 of them sold and were graded; the rest ended without a sale.

Unsold2026-09-11
No sale at Perth, Western Australia. Absent from the sold results by 2 October, with no high bid published, so there is nothing to grade against.
Called
$66,000
Correct2026-09-02
Sold $75,000 at Clyde North, Victoria, verified. The call was 1.3 per cent low, inside the three per cent a hit requires and inside the published band.
Called
$74,000
made $75,000 (+1.3%)
Correct2026-08-21
Sold $45,200 at Thomastown, Victoria, verified. The call was 0.4 per cent low, inside the three per cent a hit requires.
Called
$45,000
made $45,200 (+0.4%)

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
52/100-3
Scarcity25% of total
58/100+5
Demand durability20% of total
79/100+13
Liquidity15% of total
24/100-28
Risk resilience10% of total
70/100+34
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 57/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
52/100
Baseline80 pts
− 11.0% of value a year to run-28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)52 pts
Scarcity25% weight
58/100
Baseline30 pts
+ 540 registered in Australia, most modified+28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)58 pts
Demand durability20% weight
79/100
Baseline45 pts
+ 2JZ cultural status across generations+26 pts
+ Film franchise halo persists+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)79 pts
Liquidity15% weight
24/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 84 days on market+18 pts
+ 40 sales a year+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)24 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
70/100
Baseline90 pts
− 15% volatility-12 pts
− Stock-car scarcity cuts both ways-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)70 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 3,667 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$8,600a year
Share of value per year
11.0%
Scheduled servicing$1,70020%
Tyres, annualised$1,15013%
Registration and CTP$7509%
Insurance$2,90034%
Sinking fund (failure table)$2,10024%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$81,120
Running costs × 5 years$43,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$73,381
All-in annualised over 5 years$10,148/yr
Share of value per year13.0%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.8%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-0.3%a year
The projection falls 11.0 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$78,000
Stamp duty$3,120
Running costs x 5 years$43,000
Selling cost at exit, 4.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$130,126
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.0L twin-turbo six (2JZ-GTE)
Power / torque206 kW / 431 Nm
0-100 km/h4.9 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,510 kg
Built worldwide45,000
Delivered to Australia950
Effective AU survivors540
Australian sales / year40
Typical days on market84 days
Launch price$114,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Renaissance Red+4%
Quicksilver+3%
Black+1%
Options
Factory six-speed Getrag+8%
Unmodified 2JZ, standard turbos+10%
Factory aero+2%
Odometer sensitivity±1.2% per 10,000 km vs 110,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$76,981
-1.3% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $78,000.
Even odds it lands between $68,454 and $87,092.
$60,770 lowhigh $96,204
The shaded range is even money and 27% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 66% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$1,019 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $43,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $6,720.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $50,740, or $10,148 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The 2JZ is the most famous Japanese engine ever built and stock manual RZs are nearly extinct. The curve has compounded for a decade.

The case against

Almost every survivor is modified. The headline prices belong to a tiny stock minority. Australian evidence is one auction result from a museum dispersal, and the international record is too mixed across variants to read a price direction from at all.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Modification archaeology
Risk 2Import odometer fraud
Risk 3Single-model sentiment concentration
Targa roof seal leaks$900
Factory turbo failure$4,800

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 9 recorded sales
Carried value
$78,000
Historical price
2016 · $42,0002026 · $78,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
The gearbox split, measured, after a fourth manual landed in September 2026

This record pools six-speed cars with four-speed automatics and has been flagged for it since the library-wide audit of 6 September. There is now enough to say what the pooling costs. Normalised to the 110,000 kilometres this entry expects, at its own 1.2 per cent per 10,000: the manual line runs $86,700, $75,700, $63,200 and $46,700 with a $102,500 peak-market outlier from 2021, for a median of $75,700. The automatic line runs $51,400, $51,200 and $35,600, for a median of $51,200.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (11 more)
That is a forty-eight per cent manual premium,

And the single carried value sits +3.1 per cent against the manual median and +52.2 per cent against the automatic. So the blend is already a manual number wearing a single price, and anyone reading it for a four-speed is reading a figure half again too high.

The value does not move

$78,000 is within three per cent of the manual median it effectively describes, and splitting the record leaves three results a side, which this library has already measured as noisier than the pool. What changes is the disclosure: read $78,000 as the manual figure, and an automatic RZ-S at around $51,000.

And a note on the call, because the desk got the reading wrong while the number was right

On 7 September, with the lot at $35,250 from 43 bids and three days to run, the published bidding note called this the worst case of the pooling fault and put the record first in the queue to be split. The lot then made $75,000 and the call was a hit at 1.3 per cent. Forty-three bids at three days out was read as a room testing the number. It was a room warming up, and the same note that got the pooling right got the bidding exactly backwards. The bidding note stands as published.

The highest-distance A80 in this record is also one of the stronger results

A 262,022-kilometre automatic RZ-S made $45,200 at Thomastown in August 2026, against $50,500 for a 121,997-kilometre automatic in May 2026 and $35,750 for a 105,809-kilometre automatic in October 2025. Twice the distance of the weakest automatic and twenty-six per cent more money.

On an A80 the odometer is not the variable

- the four manuals already on this record fit at only minus 0.212, and the automatics now disagree with distance outright. Condition, originality of the 2JZ and whether the car has documentation are doing the work, and the August car had none of the third: the seller states it has been serviced with no documentary evidence on file, and it still cleared $45,200.

Five new Australian results and the fit is weak, which is itself the finding

Four manual twin-turbos - $90,500 at 73,499km in March 2026, $100,000 at 130,304km in August 2021, $65,500 at 79,836km in February 2024 and $45,250 at 135,116km in July 2023 - correlate with distance at only minus 0.212. Distance is not what separates these cars.

August 2021 was the peak,

Exactly as it was for the S14 elsewhere in this library: $100,000 at 130,304 kilometres has not been approached since, and the March 2026 result of $90,500 at half that distance is the closest anything has come in five years.

Automatics are a different car

$50,500 at 121,997km in May 2026 and $35,750 at 105,809km in October 2025, roughly half manual money. The value moves $95,000 to $78,000, between the recent manual result and what the automatics and the weaker manuals support. A 145,000-kilometre manual failed to sell in April 2025. SOURCING: aggregator-surfaced results, unconfirmed against the auction house, the weakest evidence grade here.

Australian evidence

A 1998 RZ made $74,000 at Donington Auctions in June 2021, sold out of the Bryan Thomson private museum. That is the only named Australian auction result for the model. It came from a collection dispersal rather than an ordinary consignment, which is worth knowing but does not make it less real. An aggregator also records eighteen Australian Supra results averaging $51,250 with a maximum of $100,000, but those span every variant from the naturally aspirated SZ upward, so the average does not describe an RZ.

International context

Eighty-two lots, 72 per cent clearing once repeat offerings are collapsed. No direction is read from the prices: the spread is 2.06 times upper quartile to lower, which puts this record over the threshold where movement is variant mix rather than market. The range runs from a naturally aspirated SZ at JPY3,125,001 to twin-turbo cars at US$300,000, and includes a Fast and Furious movie car at US$550,000, a Top Secret build and a GT500 - all set aside. One event distorts the record and is flagged in the clearance figure: on 4 June 2022 a single American sale offered fourteen A80 Supras from one collection and thirteen sold, which is 23 per cent of every Supra sale in the entire international record, from one consignor in one room on one day. A motivated seller clearing a collection is not the market clearing.

The $100,000 row was filed wrong and has been corrected

It sat in this record as an aggregator range endpoint spanning every Supra variant, flagged as not the market for this car and excluded from the fitted value - while the prose above it already treated the same figure as the August 2021 manual peak. The lot page settles it: 31 August 2021, Maroochydore, Queensland, 130,304 kilometres, a 1997 RZ twin turbo on the six-speed V160, white over black, imported in November 2017 and in a single private Australian ownership since, largely original. It is a named Collecting Cars sale of exactly the car this record describes, and it now counts as one. The value does not change - the reasoning already used it - but the record no longer contradicts itself about the highest Australian result it holds.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

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Backed by 9 recorded Australian sales of this model. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$78,000
Half of sales are further out than$8,720
The report$249
35×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Toyota Supra RZ, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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